Abstract:Abstract: Accurate forecasts of tea harvest production are important for workforce planning, factory operations, and marketing decisions, yet conventional estimation in plantations often relies on field experience and can…
n be biased and less adaptive to changing conditions. This study aims to develop a Random Forest Regression model to predict tea harvest production at the Bah Butong tea plantation using historical operational and climate-related data. The dataset consists of 60 monthly records (2020–2024) with six predictor variables: rainfall (mm), number of rainy days, pest level, weed level, number of harvested trees and land area. Data were split into 80% training (48 samples) and 20% testing (12 samples). Model hyperparameters were optimized using RandomizedSearchCV with RepeatedKFold cross-validation (5 folds, 3 repeats). The tuned model achieved MSE of 668,980,524.45, RMSE of 25,864.66 kg, MAE of 19,838.69 kg, and MAPE of 7.59% on the test set. The results indicate that the model can provide practical production estimates, with errors averaging about 7–8% of the actual production. Feature importance analysis shows that the number of harvested tea bushes and cultivated area contribute most to predictions. Future work should extend the historical period and incorporate time-based features (seasonality/lag) for improved forecasting.
Keywords: hyperparameter tuning; production prediction; random forest; regression; tea harvest
Abstrak: Perkiraan akurat produksi panen teh sangat penting untuk perencanaan tenaga kerja, operasional pabrik, dan keputusan pemasaran, namun estimasi konvensional di perkebunan seringkali bergantung pada pengalaman lapangan dan dapat bias serta kurang adaptif terhadap perubahan kondisi. Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengembangkan model Regresi Random Forest untuk memprediksi produksi panen teh di perkebunan teh Bah Butong menggunakan data operasional dan data terkait iklim historis. Dataset terdiri dari 60 catatan bulanan (2020–2024) dengan enam variabel prediktor: curah hujan (mm), jumlah hari hujan, tingkat hama, tingkat gulma, jumlah pokok panen, dan luas lahan. Data dibagi menjadi 80% data pelatihan (48 sampel) dan 20% data pengujian (12 sampel). Parameter model dioptimalkan menggunakan RandomizedSearchCV dengan validasi silang RepeatedKFold (5 lipatan, 3 pengulangan). Model yang telah disempurnakan mencapai MSE sebesar 668.980.524,45, RMSE sebesar 25.864,66 kg, MAE sebesar 19.838,69 kg, dan MAPE sebesar 7,59% pada set data uji. Hasil tersebut menunjukkan bahwa model dapat memberikan estimasi produksi yang praktis, dengan kesalahan rata-rata sekitar 7–8% dari produksi aktual. Analisis kepentingan fitur menunjukkan bahwa jumlah semak teh yang dipanen dan luas lahan budidaya paling berkontribusi pada prediksi. Pekerjaan selanjutnya harus memperpanjang periode historis dan menggabungkan fitur berbasis waktu (musiman/lag) untuk peramalan yang lebih baik.
Kata kunci: panen teh; prediksi produksi; random forest; regresi; tuning parameter
Abstract:Abstract: Rehabilitation programs are essential in correctional systems to equip inmates with the skills and behavioral readiness required for social reintegration. However, rehabilitation program assignment in many correctional…
ectional institutions remains dependent on manual and subjective assessments, which may result in inconsistent decisions. This study develops a Random Forest–based prediction system to support objective and data-driven rehabilitation program determination. A quantitative approach was applied using historical inmate data from January 2023 to January 2025, comprising 2,023 records. The research process included data preprocessing, an 80:20 training–testing split, model training, and performance evaluation using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score metrics. The results show that the model achieved an accuracy of 86.17% during training in Google Colab and 68.83% when deployed within the application system. This performance gap reflects real-world deployment and computational constraints rather than model failure. The proposed system provides consistent and objective rehabilitation program recommendations, thereby supporting more effective rehabilitation planning and decision-making in correctional institutions.
Keywords: correctional institutions; inmate rehabilitation programs; machine learning; random Forest; prediction system
Abstrak: Program pembinaan narapidana memiliki peran penting dalam sistem pemasyarakatan untuk membekali warga binaan dengan keterampilan serta kesiapan perilaku dalam proses reintegrasi ke masyarakat. Namun, pada banyak lembaga pemasyarakatan, penentuan program pembinaan masih bergantung pada penilaian manual yang bersifat subjektif, sehingga berpotensi menimbulkan ketidakkonsistenan dalam pengambilan keputusan. Penelitian ini mengembangkan sistem prediksi program pembinaan narapidana berbasis algoritma Random Forest guna mendukung pengambilan keputusan yang objektif dan berbasis data. Pendekatan kuantitatif diterapkan menggunakan data historis narapidana periode Januari 2023 hingga Januari 2025 sebanyak 2.023 data. Tahapan penelitian meliputi prapemrosesan data, pembagian data latih dan uji dengan rasio 80:20, pelatihan model, serta evaluasi performa menggunakan metrik akurasi, precision, recall, dan F1-score. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa model mencapai akurasi sebesar 86,17% pada tahap pelatihan di Google Colab dan 68,83% saat diimplementasikan pada sistem aplikasi. Perbedaan performa tersebut mencerminkan keterbatasan lingkungan operasional, bukan kegagalan model. Secara keseluruhan, sistem yang dikembangkan mampu memberikan rekomendasi program pembinaan yang lebih objektif dan konsisten, sehingga mendukung perencanaan pembinaan yang lebih efektif.
Kata kunci: mesin pembelajaran; program pembinaan narapidana; random Forest; sistem pemasyarakatan; sistem prediksi
Abstract:Abstract: Tourism in Pati Regency currently lacks an integrated digital information system, resulting in suboptimal dissemination of information and trip planning. To address this issue, a tourism website for Pati Regency…
y was developed, equipped with a recommended tourist route feature. This study aims to design and develop a web-based tourism information system that provides destination information based on categories, media galleries, and promotional YouTube videos, as well as a Patiways feature that allows users to select multiple tourist destinations. The system then calculates the most efficient visiting order using a greedy heuristic algorithm, based on the selected starting point. The system was developed using the Waterfall method, consisting of analysis, design, implementation, and testing phases. The system design is illustrated through UML diagrams such as Use Case, Activity, and Class Diagrams. With this system, the distribution of tourism information becomes more effective, and tourists can plan trips with optimized routes. Additionally, the website is expected to serve as a digital promotion medium that contributes to increasing tourist visits to Pati Regency.
Keywords: heuristic greedy; recommendation route; tourism; waterfall
Abstrak: Pariwisata di Kabupaten Pati saat ini belum memiliki sistem informasi digital yang terintegrasi, sehingga penyebaran informasi dan perencanaan perjalanan wisata masih belum optimal. Untuk mengatasi permasalahan tersebut, penelitian ini mengembangkan sebuah website pariwisata Kabupaten Pati yang dilengkapi dengan fitur rekomendasi rute wisata terbaik. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk merancang dan membangun sistem informasi pariwisata berbasis web yang mampu menyajikan informasi destinasi wisata berdasarkan kategori, galeri media, serta video promosi YouTube. Selain itu, sistem ini dilengkapi dengan fitur unggulan bernama Patiways yang memungkinkan pengguna memilih beberapa destinasi wisata dan secara otomatis memperoleh urutan kunjungan paling efisien menggunakan algoritma heuristik greedy berdasarkan titik awal perjalanan. Pengembangan sistem dilakukan menggunakan metode Waterfall yang meliputi tahapan analisis kebutuhan, perancangan sistem, implementasi, dan pengujian. Perancangan sistem direpresentasikan menggunakan diagram UML, meliputi Use Case Diagram, Activity Diagram, dan Class Diagram. Dengan adanya sistem ini, diharapkan penyebaran informasi pariwisata menjadi lebih efektif, wisatawan dapat merencanakan perjalanan dengan rute yang optimal, serta website dapat berfungsi sebagai media promosi digital yang berkontribusi terhadap peningkatan kunjungan wisatawan ke Kabupaten Pati.
Kata kunci: heuristik greedy; pariwisata; rekomendasi rute; waterfall
Abstract:This study analyzes the acceptance of teachers and ASN employees of the SINAGA (Sistem Informasi Layanan Kepegawaian) attendance application at SMA Negeri 1 Jatilawang using a modified Technology Acceptance Model (TAM).…
The model was extended by incorporating two external variables: Information Quality and Complexity. This explanatory quantitative research employed the Structural Equation Modeling–Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS) method involving 60 respondents who are civil servants, consisting of teachers and administrative staff. The results reveal that Information Quality has a positive and significant influence on both Perceived Usefulness (PU) and Perceived Ease of Use (PEOU), while Complexity does not show a significant effect on either variable. Furthermore, PEOU and PU have a positive impact on Attitude Toward Use (ATU), which subsequently affects Behavioral Intention to Use (BIU). Behavioral intention, in turn, strongly influences Actual Use (AU). These findings indicate that teachers’ acceptance of the SINAGA digital attendance system in educational settings is primarily driven by information quality and users’ positive attitudes rather than by system complexity. Theoretically, this study contributes to the expansion of TAM application in the educational context. Practically, it provides valuable insights for improving the effectiveness of SINAGA implementation through better information quality and enhanced user experience.
Abstract:Abstract: Soil moisture is an important factor in determining the watering needs of plants for optimal growth. Therefore, accurate monitoring of soil moisture is necessary. This research aims to design and build a soil moisture…
oisture detection tool based on the Decision Tree algorithm with the support of the YL-69 sensor for humidity measurement and the DHT11 sensor for temperature measurement to increase data accuracy. This system uses NodeMCU ESP8266 as a microcontroller and is integrated with an Android application as a user interface. Sensor interpretation data is analyzed using the Decision Tree algorithm to determine soil conditions (dry, damp or wet). The test results show an accuracy level of 95% from 300 data samples. Thus, this system is able to detect soil moisture effectively and can help increase the efficiency of crop management on a household and commercial agricultural scale.
Keywords: agriculture, android, decision tree algorithm, sensors, soil moisture detection
Abstract:Abstract: Bakery MSMEs in Kisaran City play a significant role in the local economy, but their distribution data is still managed manually, making it difficult to access and analyze. This study aims to develop a WebGIS-based…
ased Geographic Information System to map and manage bakery MSME data digitally and in an integrated manner. The research methods include field surveys, spatial and non-spatial data collection, system design using UML, development with Leaflet.js and MySQL, and testing using the blackbox method. The results show that the resulting system is capable of displaying interactive maps with location details, business information, and an easy-to-use search feature. This system makes it easier for the government, business actors, and the public to access MSME information and supports data-based economic development planning. With the output in the form of publications in accredited journals, this research is expected to be an effective solution for MSME data management in other regions.
Keyword: bakery; mapping; MSME; WebGIS
Abstrak: UMKM toko roti di Kota Kisaran memiliki peran penting dalam perekonomian lokal, namun data persebarannya masih dikelola secara manual sehingga sulit diakses dan dianalisis. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengembangkan Sistem Informasi Geografis berbasis WebGIS untuk memetakan dan mengelola data UMKM toko roti secara digital dan terintegrasi. Metode penelitian meliputi survei lapangan, pengumpulan data spasial dan non-spasial, perancangan sistem menggunakan UML, pengembangan dengan Leaflet.js dan MySQL, serta pengujian menggunakan metode blackbox. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan sistem yang dihasilkan mampu menampilkan peta interaktif dengan detail lokasi, informasi usaha, dan fitur pencarian yang mudah digunakan. Sistem ini mempermudah pemerintah, pelaku usaha, dan masyarakat dalam mengakses informasi UMKM, serta mendukung perencanaan pembangunan ekonomi berbasis data. Dengan luaran berupa publikasi pada jurnal terakreditasi, penelitian ini diharapkan menjadi solusi efektif untuk pengelolaan data UMKM di daerah lain.
Kata kunci; pemetaan; toko roti; UMKM; WebGIS
Abstract:Abstract: The rice plant, Oryza sativa, is a major food source in Indonesia. This plant is processed into rice, a staple food for the Indonesian people. Rice growth is crucial to ensure the rice produced is of good quality.…
ty. One part of the rice plant that is susceptible to disease is the leaves, which can inhibit growth and reduce rice quality. Therefore, early detection and accurate classification of rice diseases are crucial to minimize these negative impacts. This has driven the development of a Deep Learning model capable of high-performance automatic classification. This study aims to create a rice leaf classification model using the CNN algorithm and several transfer learning architectures such as ResNet101, VGG16, and Xception. A dataset of 859 rice leaf images collected from the Kaggle website was then processed using augmentation techniques to a total of 2,439 images, plus 215 smartphone photos for external data validation. Thus, the total dataset increased to 2,656 images, covering four categories: leafblast, brownspot, healthy, and hispa. The model was processed in two stages: on the initial dataset (Non-Augmented Dataset) and the Augmented Dataset. The best experimental results were obtained using the ResNet architecture, with a training accuracy of 96.17% and a validation accuracy of 95.22%. Based on the research results, the rice plant disease classification model using deep learning demonstrated good performance.
Keywords: convolutional neural network; deep learning; fine-tuning; image classification; resnet; rice plant
Abstract:Abstract: Ineffective drug demand management can lead to problems such as imbalanced drug distribution, excess stock, or shortages in community health centers. To address this, data mining can be utilized to support the…
planning and control process of drug inventory. Clustering techniques were chosen because they are able to group drug data based on certain characteristics, thus identifying stable and unstable drug supply patterns. This study aims to group drug data at Simpang Kawat Community Health Center in Jambi City, which can be used as a reference in planning drug needs in the next period. Data grouping is divided into three categories: slow-moving, medium-moving, and fast-moving. The research data includes attributes of drug name, initial stock, receipt, inventory, usage, and final stock, with a total of 1758 data sets, which were processed using the CRISP-DM framework through the RapidMiner application. Cluster quality evaluation was carried out using the Davies-Bouldin Index (DBI). The results showed that the K-Means algorithm obtained a DBI value of 0.175, smaller than K-Medoids which obtained a value of 0.354. Because a smaller DBI value indicates better cluster quality, K-Means provides more optimal clustering results than K-Medoids. Through these clustering results, community health centers can utilize drug cluster information to support more efficient drug procurement planning, as well as reduce the risk of excess or shortage of stock.
Keywords: data mining; clustering; k-means; k-medoids; davies-bouldin index
Abstract:Abstract: The management of veterinary drug stocks at the Veterinary Clinic Technical Implementation Unit (UPTD) of the North Sumatra Province Plantation and Livestock Service faces obstacles in the form of discrepancies…
between supply and demand, resulting in excess stock and budget waste. Uncertain demand for drugs is a factor that complicates decision-making in stock provision. This study aims to optimize drug stock management using the Mamdani fuzzy logic method, which is capable of handling data uncertainty and modeling information linguistically. Three input variables are used, namely initial stock, demand, and number of visits, with the output being the final stock. The process involves fuzzification, inference based on IF–THEN rules, and defuzzification using the centroid method. The results show that the developed system has a good accuracy level with a MAPE value of 17.52%, which means that this model is effective in providing optimal and efficient drug stock recommendations in a veterinary clinic environment.
Keywords: fuzzy mamdani; optimization; animal drug stock.
Abstract:Abstract: In agriculture, irrigation systems are vital for enhancing water management and maximising plant growth. Effective irrigation management involves distributing sufficient quantities of water evenly to condition…
soil fertility for plants. This study aims to design a prototype that can be monitored via the Telegram app. The research methodology employs a thinking framework approach. The system is implemented using an Arduino Uno microcontroller and supporting devices, including an ESP8266 Wi-Fi module, an ultrasonic sensor, a soil moisture sensor, a stepper motor and a servo motor. Telegram serves as the monitoring tool, sending notifications connected to the Arduino via a Wi-Fi network. Test results showed that the system operates effectively: the HC-SR04 ultrasonic sensor functions as a water level reader, and the stepper motor opens and closes the water gate. Soil moisture monitoring uses a soil moisture sensor to measure the water content in the soil. If the sensor detects dry soil conditions or a moisture level below 60%, the servo motor will rotate 15° to close the water channel. Conversely, if the sensor detects wet or moist soil conditions, the servo motor will rotate 0° to close the water channel.
Keywords: arduino uno; irrigation system; soil moisture; ultrasonic sensor;