Abstract:The rapid growth of the hotel industry requires hotels to improve operational planning, one of which is by forecasting room reservations. Inaccurate forecasting may cause an imbalance between room availability and customer…
er demand. This study aims to compare the Weighted Moving Average and Single Exponential Smoothing algorithms in forecasting room reservations at Raz Hotel and Convention Medan using historical data from January 2025 to May 2026. The research method consisted of data collection, forecasting using both algorithms, and accuracy evaluation through Mean Absolute Deviation, Mean Squared Error, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error. The results indicate that the Single Exponential Smoothing algorithm achieved a Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 15.24%, which is lower than the 15.63% obtained by the Weighted Moving Average algorithm. Furthermore, the Single Exponential Smoothing algorithm predicted 835.90 room reservations for June 2026. Therefore, it can be concluded that the Single Exponential Smoothing algorithm provides better forecasting accuracy and is more suitable for predicting room reservations at Raz Hotel and Convention Medan.
Abstract:Bread product sales have become an important aspect of the bakery business, influenced by fluctuations in demand that are not easily predictable. Efficient sales management requires a deep understanding of sales patterns.…
. This study aims to optimize bread product sales by using the K-Means Clustering algorithm to analyze daily sales performance at Toko Roti Amin. The data used includes sales volume and transaction frequency for bread products, consisting of 356 data points. The results show that the bread products can be grouped into three clusters: 129 data in the “Good Sales” cluster, 28 data in the “Moderate Sales” cluster, and 199 data in the “Low Sales” cluster. These findings assist bakery owners in managing stock, production planning, and more targeted marketing strategies. Although there are limitations in using K-Means Clustering, such as dependence on the initial centroid selection, this study proves that applying this technique can enhance inventory management and maximize profit in the bakery business.
Abstract:PDAM Tirta Kualo is a regional company that supplies clean water to the surrounding community. Accurate estimation of water bill amounts is crucial to assist PDAMs in managing resources and finances efficiently. This study…
dy aims to create a prediction model for total water bills using the linear regression method. The data used is historical customer billing data which is analyzed to identify the relationship between air usage volume and total billing.
The findings show that a simple regression model can describe the water bill amount with an impressive accuracy of 0.9926. This precise model allows it to be used effectively in PDAM financial planning and assists customers in estimating their water usage.
Abstract:Public speaking is the activity of speaking in front of an audience with the aim of delivering information, providing explanations, entertaining, or influencing the listeners. It also involves conveying messages verbally…
in front of an audience, whether in the form of speeches, presentations, lectures, or discussions. Public speaking is a crucial skill in various aspects of life, ranging from education to the professional world. This ability not only helps in academic presentations but also impacts how a person communicates and influences others. At the high school level and equivalent, students begin preparing for the next stage in their education or entering the workforce. Many challenges arise for students when speaking in front of an audience in a formal setting and explaining their presentations. Students face difficulties due to a lack of self-confidence, nervousness, panic, and a lack of mastery over the material they will present. In addition to a lack of self-confidence, other challenges include limited vocabulary, low communication skills, fear of judgment from others, and insufficient preparation. Basic public speaking training at Al Ma'shum High School in Kisaran would be highly beneficial for students to boost their self-confidence, enhance their communication skills, sharpen their critical and logical thinking abilities, and equip them for entering the workforce. The basic public speaking training will involve methods such as self-introduction exercises, role-playing, speech structure practice, impromptu speaking, expression training, intonation and articulation exercises, as well as feedback and evaluation.
Abstract:The use of technology in education has become a necessity to improve the performance and effectiveness of the teaching and learning process. This article aims to explore the utilization of Google Tools by teachers at Brainfor…
infor Kindergarten School to enhance their performance. The methods used include observation and interviews with teachers as well as analysis of the use of Google tools such as Google Classroom, Google Drive, and Google Meet. The results of this study indicate that the use of Google Tools can improve efficiency in lesson planning, task management, and communication between teachers and parents. Additionally, Google Tools assist in the professional development of teachers by providing easier access to resources and online training. Therefore, the implementation of this technology is expected to be continuously supported and developed to enhance the quality of education at Brainfor Kindergarten School
Abstract:This study aims to analyze the strategic planning of Tof-Tof Village development in Eligobel District, Merauke Regency, using the SWOT analysis approach. The main problem studied is how an effective development strategy…
can be designed to optimize village potential, overcome internal weaknesses, and take advantage of opportunities and face external threats. This study uses a qualitative method with data collection techniques through observation, in-depth interviews, and documentation studies. The results of the study indicate that Tof-Tof Village has strengths in the form of potential natural resources and strong social cohesion, but faces weaknesses such as limited basic infrastructure and village apparatus capacity. Development opportunities come from the support of Papua's special autonomy policy and partnerships with external institutions, while threats include geographical isolation and dependence on external assistance. The conclusion of this study shows the need for participatory and adaptive strategic planning in facing the dynamics of sustainable village development.
Abstract:The palm oil industry plays a strategic role in Indonesia's economy, including in Merauke Regency, which is one of the developing palm oil plantation areas in Papua. However, challenges in production efficiency, environmental…
ental sustainability, and competitiveness remain obstacles in the industry's value chain. Innovation in various aspects of the value chain, such as productivity improvement through agricultural technology, processing efficiency, and product diversification based on palm oil, is a key factor in enhancing the industry's competitiveness. This study aims to analyze the role of innovation in the palm oil industry value chain in Merauke Regency by identifying the types of innovations applied and the factors that support or hinder their adoption. The research employs a qualitative approach, using data collection techniques such as in-depth interviews, observations, and document studies. The findings indicate that upstream sector innovations, such as the use of superior seedlings and digital plantation management, have improved productivity and efficiency. Meanwhile, downstream innovations in palm oil processing and value-added product diversification still face challenges, particularly in infrastructure and regulatory aspects. The study's implications suggest that optimizing innovation in the palm oil value chain requires more adaptive policies, increased investment in research and development, and capacity building for human resources. Thus, innovation can serve as a driving force in creating a more competitive, sustainable palm oil industry that contributes to local economic development in Merauke Regency.
Abstract:The Community Information Group (KIM) program is a strategic initiative by the Department of Communication and Information Technology of Merauke Regency to encourage active community participation in managing information…
and communication. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of the KIM program's implementation, covering aspects of planning, execution, and its impact on the community. The research method employed is a qualitative approach, with data collection techniques including interviews, observations, and document studies. The evaluation results indicate that the KIM program has positively contributed to improving community information literacy, particularly in rural areas. However, several challenges were identified, such as limited human resources, uneven technological infrastructure, and low community participation in certain activities. Therefore, strategic measures are needed, including enhancing the capacity of KIM members, expanding access to information technology, and optimizing synergy between local government, local communities, and other stakeholders. This study is expected to serve as a reference for developing a more effective and sustainable KIM program in the future.
Abstract:This research is motivated by the non-optimal management of the Village Market in increasing Village Original Income by the Bentar Village Government, Salem District, Brebes Regency. The method used in this research is qualitative…
ualitative research method. Data collection techniques in this research include literature study, field study (observation and interviews) and documentation. The informants in this study were 7 people. The data analysis technique in this research is by condensing data, presenting data and drawing conclusions. The method used in this research is descriptive analysis. Informants as many as 7 people. Data collection techniques are literature study, field study (observation and interviews) and documentation. The author uses qualitative data analysis techniques through processing data from interviews and observations to draw conclusions so as to answer the problems in the study. The results showed that the Village Market Management strategy in Increasing Village Original Income in Bentar Village, Salem District, Brebes Regency has been running, but it is not optimal because problems are still found including: An incomplete organisational structure and limited facilities and infrastructure. Implementation that is not in accordance with planning and the absence of management training activities. No regular and programmed supervision and evaluation.
Keywords: Strategy, Management, BUMDes, Village Original Revenue, Village Government
Abstract:This study a of the ims to determine how the implementation of the sago cultivation policy, as well as to determine what factors influence the implementation of the sago cultivation policy in Tambat Village, Tanah Miring…
ng District, Merauke Regency, which are
still not effective, as for the factors that influence the implementation of the Cultivation
policy. Sago plants in Tambat village are seen from the cultivation of sago plants.
Busides that, there is also the theory used by researchers, namely: George Edward III’s
theory is that the factors that influence the implementation of the sago cultivation policy
in Tambat Village, Tanah Miring District, Merauke Regency are the first communication
factors, rarely done, resource factors, which are not supportive, disposition factors/
attitudes that are not resp