Abstract:Sales forecasting is a crucial component of operational strategy and inventory management in the culinary industry, particularly for businesses dealing with raw materials that have short shelf lives. The Sate Padang Hapis…
s business faces the challenge of unpredictable monthly fluctuations in consumer demand, which often lead to supply imbalances, overproduction, or lost profit opportunities due to stockouts. This study aims to implement and analyze the accuracy of the Single Moving Average (SMA) quantitative forecasting method in predicting Sate Padang Hapis sales volumes for June 2026. Model performance was evaluated by assessing mathematical accuracy across two time-interval variations: 3-month and 5-month moving averages. Projection error rates were rigorously measured using Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) parameters. The analysis reveals that the Single Moving Average model with a 5-month interval yields projections closest to actual data, achieving the lowest error rates (MAD: 28.00; MSE: 1,304.00; MAPE: 2.28%). Implementing this forecasting model provides management with an objective basis for decision-making, enabling the effective and efficient optimization of raw material logistics and supply management.
Abstract:Bread product sales have become an important aspect of the bakery business, influenced by fluctuations in demand that are not easily predictable. Efficient sales management requires a deep understanding of sales patterns.…
. This study aims to optimize bread product sales by using the K-Means Clustering algorithm to analyze daily sales performance at Toko Roti Amin. The data used includes sales volume and transaction frequency for bread products, consisting of 356 data points. The results show that the bread products can be grouped into three clusters: 129 data in the “Good Sales” cluster, 28 data in the “Moderate Sales” cluster, and 199 data in the “Low Sales” cluster. These findings assist bakery owners in managing stock, production planning, and more targeted marketing strategies. Although there are limitations in using K-Means Clustering, such as dependence on the initial centroid selection, this study proves that applying this technique can enhance inventory management and maximize profit in the bakery business.
Abstract:Technological advances support digital transformation in sales data management. Wan Toys & Sport stores face difficulty understanding sales patterns, such as the highest sales months and most popular products. This research…
rch uses the K-Means clustering method with the CRISP-DM approach to group sports products based on their sales level. The analysis results show that this method is able to divide products into three categories: high, medium and low, thus providing strategic insight for stock management and marketing. Products with high sales are prioritized for stock, while products with low sales are targeted for promotion. This method effectively supports operational efficiency and data-based decision making at Wan Toys & Sport stores.
Abstract:Everbright has become one of the distributing companies selling various products, one of which is the Dettol product. In optimizing the stock and marketing of Dettol products, the company faces difficulties in identifying…
g the best-selling products and those less favored by customers. This research data originates from the sales transaction data of Dettol soap in November, comprising 77 sales data. Through the use of data mining, particularly the K-means Clustering method, it becomes a relevant approach to solving this issue. The objective of this research is to avoid excess inventory that remains unsold while meeting the diverse needs of customers. The results of this study show the visualization of the distribution of Dettol soap product clusters and grouping based on sales levels. There were 21 best-selling item data, 31 well-selling item data, and 25 less popular item data, enabling the company to manage inventory based on the best-selling items.
Abstract:The development of digital technology has changed the way businesses market products, including culinary businesses such as chili chips. This article examines the role of social media in increasing sales of chili chips in…
n Sibuhuan Market, North Sumatra. Social media, through platforms such as Instagram, Facebook, and TikTok, allows businesses to introduce their products to a wider audience, increase brand awareness, and reach markets outside of the local area. In addition, social media provides an opportunity to interact directly with consumers, receive feedback, and build customer loyalty. Marketing through creative content, such as eye-catching photos and videos, as well as promotions through influencers or contests, also contribute to increased buying interest. By taking advantage of the e-commerce features available on social media, the purchase process becomes easier, which also drives increased sales conversions.
Abstract:Kegiatan pengabdian kepada masyarakat ini bertujuan meningkatkan efektivitas pemasaran digital UMKM Pasar Bengkel yang memproduksi ceker ayam siap konsumsi melalui pemanfaatan fitur TikTok Live. Permasalahan yang dihadapi…
i mitra meliputi sistem pemasaran yang masih konvensional, rendahnya jangkauan promosi, terbatasnya interaksi dengan konsumen, serta penurunan penjualan akibat perubahan pola pasar. Metode pelaksanaan menggunakan Participatory Action Research (PAR) yang meliputi observasi, sosialisasi, pelatihan, pendampingan, dan evaluasi selama 30 hari yang dibagi menjadi enam periode. Evaluasi dilakukan menggunakan analisis Growth Rate, Sales Growth Ratio (SGR), dan Conversion Rate (CR). Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan rata-rata jumlah penonton TikTok Live meningkat dari 18 menjadi 166 orang atau sebesar 822,2%. Jumlah transaksi meningkat dari 4 menjadi 28 transaksi (600,0%), sedangkan omzet meningkat dari Rp520.000 menjadi Rp3.960.000 (661,5%). Nilai SGR menunjukkan penjualan meningkat 3 kali lipat, transaksi 7 kali lipat, dan omzet 7,62 kali lipat, sedangkan CR mencapai 16,87% yang termasuk kategori sangat baik. Hasil tersebut membuktikan bahwa TikTok Live efektif memperluas jangkauan promosi, meningkatkan interaksi dengan konsumen, serta mendorong peningkatan penjualan dan pendapatan UMKM secara berkelanjutan.
Abstract:Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui bagaimana kondisi financial distress dengan menggunakan model Springate (Sscore), dengan variabel rasio modal kerja bersih terhadap total aset, rasio laba sebelum pajak dan bunga…
terhadap total aset, laba sebelum bunga dan pajak terhadap total aset, rasio sebelum pajak terhadap total liabilitas lancar, dan rasio penjualan terhadap total aset. Penelitian ini menggunakan sampel perusahaan sub sektor hotel, restoran dan pariwisata yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia dengan metode purposive sampling. Jumlah perusahaan dalam penelitian yaitu 28 dalam kurun waktu 4 tahun dari 2018 sampai 2021, atau sebanyak 112 sampel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa 18 perusahaan sub sektor hotel, restoran dan pariwisata dalam kurun waktu 4 tahun mengalami kondisi financial distress secara terus-menerus. Jika dibiarkan maka perusahaan bisa saja mengalami kebangkrutan.
Abstract:Islamic economics has different principles from conventional economics, including in terms of sales contracts. In Islamic economics, there are several types of sales contracts used, such as bai' al-salam (future sales) and…
nd bai’ al-salam(manufacturing sales). Trust sales contracts are also important in ensuring transparency of the price of the goods or services sold. The research method uses descriptive qualitative in describing and explaining specifically with literature studies in data collection. The purpose of this research is to find out specifically about the types and qualifications of sharia sales that do not contain gharar and usury. In Islamic economics, payments in sales contracts can be deferred or paid in installments without involving interest or riba. This allows the buyer to pay according to an agreed schedule. Sales contracts in the Islamic economy differ from interest-bearing loan contracts, where there is an exchange of goods or services at a predetermined price. Islamic banks use sales contracts as a legitimate alternative to interest-bearing loan contracts, allowing them to provide financing that is fair and compliant with sharia principles. In the Islamic economy, there are also contracts for the sale of future commodities (salam), the sale of manufacturing (istisna'), and currency exchange (sarf). Islamic banks have an important role to play in facilitating these sales contracts, as intermediaries who ensure the contracts adhere to Shariah principles and meet applicable legal requirements. With a good understanding of the different types of these sales contracts, economic actors can choose the ones that suit their needs while complying with sharia principles.
Abstract:Saat ini masih banyak penjual qurban di Pematangsiantar yang melakukan proses penjualan hewan qurban secara manual atau tradisional. Pencatatan pemesanan, pembayaran, dan informasi hewan masih menggunakan buku atau catatan…
an fisik. Menjelang hari raya Idul Adha biasanya permintaan meningkat drastis, sehingga berisiko menimbulkan kesalahan pencatatan, kesulitan dalam pengelolaan waktu, tenaga, dan keuangan, serta potensi kehilangan data. Pengabdian masyarakat menjadi solusi terhadap permasalahan yang ada. Pengabdian dilakukan bertujuan untuk merancang sistem informasi penjualan domba qurban berbasis website untuk kemudian digunakan untuk mempermudah transaksi antara penjual dan pembeli secara efisien, transparan, dan real-time. Pelaksanaan pengabdian menggunakan pendekatan Participatory Action Research. Kegiatan pengabdian masyarakat diharapkan mampu membantu pelaku usaha penjual qurban dalam meningkatkan jangkauan pemasaran, meningkatkan kualitas layanan, mengurangi kesalahan pencatatan, dan memberikan kemudahan akses informasi bagi pembeli.
Abstract:Sektor ekonomi terbesar di Indonesia yang berkontribusi terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja dan pertumbuhan PDB adalah Usaha Mikro, Kecil, dan Menengah (UMKM). Namun, banyak UMKM, khususnya di Desa Paremono, tetap menggunakan…
an strategi pemasaran tradisional yang terbatas pada penjualan langsung, yang menghambat pertumbuhan bisnis dan jangkauan pasar yang lebih luas. Digital marketing, seiring dengan kemajuan teknologi, menjadi solusi strategis dalam meningkatkan daya saing UMKM. Layanan ini bertujuan untuk membantu dan mengedukasi pelaku UMKM di Desa Paremono terkait strategi digital marketing berbasis media sosial. Metode yang digunakan bersifat partisipatif, dengan tahapan observasi, pelatihan, dan evaluasi. Pelatihan ini mencakup branding, pembuatan konten promosi, dan penggunaan marketplace dan media sosial, termasuk Instagram. Berdasarkan hasil dari pengabdian yang dilakukan pengetahuan dan kemahiran peserta dalam menerapkan digital marketing meningkat, dan UMKM mulai menggunakan strategi branding yang lebih profesional dan menciptakan desain kemasan produk yang lebih menarik. Selain itu, edukasi legalitas bisnis ditawarkan untuk memastikan keberlanjutan bisnis mereka, yang akan memungkinkan UMKM untuk bersaing di pasar yang lebih besar dan meningkatkan profitabilitas secara berkelanjutan.