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Showing 3 articles found for "Cyclical"

Geopolitical Risk and Stock Performance in Healthcare Industry (Case Study in Southeast Asia)

Kusherawati, Novia, Taufik Faturrohman
Abstract: The healthcare industry has historically been viewed as a non-cyclical, defensive, safe haven for investors. However, the post-pandemic period has revealed the industry's susceptibility to disruptions in global supply chains… ains and geopolitical tensions. The present research examines the effects of Geopolitical risk (GPR) on the stock performance of 76 publicly listed healthcare companies in Southeast Asia (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, and Singapore) during 2015-2024. According to the Caldara and Iacoviello GPR Index, this study utilizes Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) the results show that though general Geopolitical Risk and Inflation are strongly negatively impacting the stock performance, specific Geopolitical Acts (GPRA) and Threats (GPRT) are having a positive response indicating a necessity premium in which investors expect a boom in demand of medical supplies once a conflict is realized. It concludes that the healthcare industry is not a safe haven but a highly fragmented environment in which inflation poses a greater threat to companies than political instability. The study advises that investors should consider a bottom-up approach, specifically micro-resilience screening, and that corporate managers should focus on supply chain decoupling and inflation hedging to address the Resilience Gap identified in the region.

QUICK RATIO, DEBT TO ASSET RATIO, AND RETURN ON ASSETS DETERMINING FACTORS ON: FIRM VALUE (PBV)

Pratama, Mohamad Yudiansyah, Dama, Hais, Ishak, Idham Masri
Abstract: This study aims to analyze the effect of Quick Ratio (QR), Debt to Asset Ratio (DAR), and Return on Assets (ROA) on firm value as measured by Price to Book Value (PBV) in consumer non-cyclical sector companies listed on… the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the 2021–2024 period. The consumer non-cyclical sector was selected because it consists of companies producing essential goods with relatively stable demand, making it an important sector in the national economy. This research employed a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from the annual financial statements of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sampling technique used purposive sampling, resulting in 196 observations. Data analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression analysis with SPSS software, preceded by classical assumption tests including normality, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and autocorrelation tests. The results show that partially, Quick Ratio has no significant effect on firm value, indicating that short-term liquidity is not the main consideration for investors in assessing company value. Debt to Asset Ratio also has no significant effect on firm value, meaning that the level of debt dependence does not directly determine market valuation. Meanwhile, Return on Assets has a positive and significant effect on firm value, indicating that profitability is the main factor influencing investor confidence and market value. Simultaneously, Quick Ratio, Debt to Asset Ratio, and Return on Assets have a significant effect on firm value. The coefficient of determination (R²) value of 0.510 indicates that 51.0% of firm value variation can be explained by the three independent variables, while the remaining 49.0% is explained by other factors outside this study.

THE EFFECT OF CAPITAL STRUCTURE ON FIRM VALUE WITH PROFITABILITY AS A MODERATING VARIABLE (Case Study of Consumer Non-Cyclical Sector Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2021–2024 Period)

Ibrahim, Fauzia Naningsi, Dama, Hais, Ishak, Idham Masri
Abstract: This study aims to analyze the effect of capital structure on firm value with profitability as a moderating variable in consumer non-cyclical sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2021–2024. Capital… pital structure was measured using Debt to Asset Ratio (DAR) and Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), firm value was proxied by Price to Book Value (PBV), while profitability was measured using Return on Assets (ROA). This research applied a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from annual financial reports. The sample consisted of 154 observations selected through purposive sampling. Data analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression and Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) with SPSS software. The results show that DAR has a positive and significant effect on firm value, while DER has a negative but insignificant effect on firm value. Simultaneously, DAR and DER significantly affect firm value. Furthermore, profitability (ROA) is proven to strengthen the relationship between DAR and firm value as well as between DER and firm value. These findings indicate that an optimal capital structure supported by strong profitability can increase firm value. Therefore, companies should maintain a balanced financing composition and improve profitability to enhance market valuation.