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Penerapan Data Mining Dalam Estimasi Harga Emas Menggunakan Algoritma Trend Moment Pada PT Victoeria Vici

Erika Fahmi Ginting, Husna Gemasih, Suci Andriyani, Mutiara S. Simanjuntak, Chindi Dwi Lestari Nainggolan
Abstract: Emas merupakan salah satu jenis komoditi yang paling banyak diminati untuk tujuan investasi, karena dipandang sebagai instrumen yang lebih aman dibandingkan saham serta memiliki nilai jual yang selalu bergerak mengikuti… kondisi pasar. PT Victoeria Vici, sebagai pelaku usaha perhiasan emas custom, menghadapi kendala dalam menentukan estimasi harga jual kepada pelanggan, sebab proses pengerjaan pesanan custom membutuhkan waktu hingga 14 hari, sementara harga emas bergerak fluktuatif dan tidak terstruktur setiap harinya sehingga estimasi harga menjadi tidak akurat dan tidak efektif. Berdasarkan permasalahan tersebut, penelitian ini menerapkan konsep Data Mining dengan algoritma Trend Moment untuk mengestimasi harga emas pada rentang waktu tertentu. Data yang digunakan merupakan data historis harga emas per gram pada PT Victoeria Vici periode Agustus–Oktober 2021 sebanyak 92 data. Tahapan penelitian meliputi pengumpulan data, penentuan variabel X dan Y, eliminasi untuk memperoleh nilai konstanta a dan slope b, serta penerapan persamaan Y = a + bX untuk memperoleh nilai estimasi. Hasil perhitungan menunjukkan nilai a = 720.871,725 dan b = 3,108 sehingga model estimasi mampu menghasilkan proyeksi harga emas yang mendekati pola data historis. Model ini kemudian diimplementasikan ke dalam aplikasi berbasis desktop menggunakan Microsoft Visual Basic 2010 dan basis data Microsoft Access, dilengkapi Crystal Report untuk pencetakan laporan hasil estimasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa algoritma Trend Moment dapat membantu PT Victoeria Vici dalam memperoleh estimasi harga emas secara lebih cepat, konsisten, dan terdokumentasi. Gold is one of the most sought-after commodities for investment purposes, as it is regarded as a safer instrument compared to stocks and has a selling value that constantly fluctuates with market conditions. PT Victoeria Vici, a custom gold jewelry business, faces difficulty in determining the estimated selling price offered to customers because the production process for custom orders takes up to 14 days, while gold prices move in an unstructured and fluctuating manner every day, making manual price estimation inaccurate and ineffective. Based on this problem, this study applies the concept of Data Mining using the Trend Moment algorithm to estimate gold prices over a certain period of time. The data used is historical daily gold price data per gram from PT Victoeria Vici for the period of August–October 2021, consisting of 92 records. The research stages include data collection, determination of the X and Y variables, elimination to obtain the constant value a and the slope b, and the application of the equation Y = a + bX to obtain the estimated value. The calculation results show a value of a = 720,871.725 and b = 3.108, so that the estimation model is able to produce gold price projections that closely follow the pattern of historical data. This model was then implemented into a desktop-based application using Microsoft Visual Basic 2010 and a Microsoft Access database, equipped with Crystal Report for printing estimation result reports. The results show that the Trend Moment algorithm can help PT Victoeria Vici obtain gold price estimations more quickly, consistently, and in a well-documented manner.

PROGRAM KEMITRAAN MASYARAKAT (PKM) KLUSTER 2 PETERNAK AYAM RAS PETELUR SKALA USAHA MIKRO DAN USAHA KECIL DI KOTA TOMOHON TENTANG PENERAPAN BIOSEKURITI PADA USAHA PETERNAKAN UNGGAS

Tangkere, Evacuree S., Podung, Albert J., Tangkere, Imelda A., Sompie, Florencia N., Telleng, Malcky M.
Abstract: ABSTRACT The objective of community partnership program cluster 2 (CPP-C2) is to provide micro and small-scale layer chicken farmers in Tomohon city with business management procedures based on “biosecurity”.  Problems faced… blems faced by partners, both farm owners and farm workers: 1) lack of knowledge and understanding of the concept and application of biosecurity  2) lack of sanitation application, which increases the risk of diseases emerging and spreading 3) not yet aware that the use of open house system, unfenced farms and no procedures for entering the farm area, are not in accordance with the principles of biosecurity system. The activity was carried out in stages: survey, socialization on the concept and implementation of the 3-zone biosecurity system, provision of disinfectants and examples of regulation for laying hen farming as well as evaluation. The evaluation results show that during the extension activity, out of 8 participants only 2 were actively asking questions, and it turned out they were the farm owners, while the farm workers were passive.  It was found after the outreach activity, that the farm owners or farm workers who were partners had not been implemented the 3-zone biosecurity system, therefore outreach activities regarding biosecurity on poultry farm still need to be provided again to them, so that the concept and application of biosecurity will be truly understood and they would be willing to do so. However, at least 2 farms have prepared signboards with rules for entering the farm area.  The occurrence of outbreaks and pandemics should be a lesson-learned that biosecurity measures are highly relevant to the saying “it is better to prevent than cure”. If, chicken remain healthy, they produce high-quality and safe products, and so, farmers can minimize health costs and maximize profits, even enabling farms owner to expand their businesses scale.  In conclusion, this activity has not been given a significant impact on partner’s farm management because all partners have not been implemented the 3-zone biosecurity system, and it would be better if, all farm owners as decision makers to participate in this kind of activity, as well as the need for synergy between relevant agencies in the livestock sector in Tomohon city and academics with poultry farming business practitioners in an effort to maintain livestock health, poultry communities and maintain food security.  

DETERMINANTS OF DIVIDEND POLICY AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR STOCK RETURNS: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF COMPANIES LISTED ON THE INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE 2019-2024

Munadjat, Baliyah, Gursida, Hari, Indrayono, Yohanes
Abstract: This study aims to analyze the determinants of dividend policy and their implications for stock returns among companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the 2019–2024 period. Specifically, the study examines… examines the effects of Return on Assets (ROA), Current Ratio (CR), Debt-to-Equity Ratio (DER), Sales Growth (SG), and Firm Size (SIZE) on Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR), as well as the impact of DPR on stock returns. The research employs a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from the annual financial reports of dividend-paying companies listed on the IDX. The sample consists of 822 firm-year observations selected through purposive sampling. Data analysis was conducted using path analysis with multiple regression models, supported by classical assumption tests including normality, heteroscedasticity, multicollinearity, and autocorrelation tests. The results indicate that during the overall period of 2019–2024, ROA, DER, and SG significantly and negatively affect DPR, while CR and SIZE do not have significant effects. Furthermore, CR negatively affects stock returns, whereas SG and DPR have positive and significant effects on stock returns. The findings also reveal that the relationships among financial performance, dividend policy, and stock returns vary across pre-crisis, crisis, and post-crisis periods. Overall, dividend policy plays an important mediating role in influencing stock returns, particularly during and after periods of financial uncertainty. These findings provide valuable insights for investors, corporate managers, and policymakers in formulating dividend and investment decisions under different economic conditions.

FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT PRACTICES AND PROFITABILITY OF MICRO ENTERPRISES: A SIMPLE ACCOUNTING APPROACH

Muliansyah, Eko, Ghazy, Muhammad Hashfi Al, Hajaria, Ainul, Nida, Fitrotun, Saputra, Muhammad Rafli, Mush'ab, Mush'ab
Abstract: Micro enterprises in the Keputih area of Surabaya play an important role in supporting local economic activity, particularly through small-scale food, beverage, and daily-consumption businesses. However, many micro-entrepreneurs… preneurs still face difficulties in managing their finances systematically. Financial records are often kept manually, inconsistently, or based on memory, making it difficult for business owners to clearly identify cash flow, operating costs, profit levels, and business growth potential. This study aims to analyze the financial management practices of micro enterprises in Keputih, Surabaya, identify the main challenges in applying simple accounting, and examine how basic accounting practices contribute to profitability and business sustainability. This research uses a qualitative approach through direct observation and in-depth interviews with micro-enterprise owners from different business sectors in the Keputih area. The findings show that most business owners have not yet implemented formal accounting systems, but simple practices such as recording daily income, separating business and personal funds, calculating basic costs, and monitoring stock can improve financial control and decision-making. The main obstacles include limited accounting knowledge, lack of discipline in record-keeping, and the perception that small businesses do not require structured financial reports. This study highlights the importance of simple accounting as a practical tool for strengthening profitability, financial awareness, and the sustainability of micro enterprises in local urban communities.

QUICK RATIO, DEBT TO ASSET RATIO, AND RETURN ON ASSETS DETERMINING FACTORS ON: FIRM VALUE (PBV)

Pratama, Mohamad Yudiansyah, Dama, Hais, Ishak, Idham Masri
Abstract: This study aims to analyze the effect of Quick Ratio (QR), Debt to Asset Ratio (DAR), and Return on Assets (ROA) on firm value as measured by Price to Book Value (PBV) in consumer non-cyclical sector companies listed on… the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the 2021–2024 period. The consumer non-cyclical sector was selected because it consists of companies producing essential goods with relatively stable demand, making it an important sector in the national economy. This research employed a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from the annual financial statements of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sampling technique used purposive sampling, resulting in 196 observations. Data analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression analysis with SPSS software, preceded by classical assumption tests including normality, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and autocorrelation tests. The results show that partially, Quick Ratio has no significant effect on firm value, indicating that short-term liquidity is not the main consideration for investors in assessing company value. Debt to Asset Ratio also has no significant effect on firm value, meaning that the level of debt dependence does not directly determine market valuation. Meanwhile, Return on Assets has a positive and significant effect on firm value, indicating that profitability is the main factor influencing investor confidence and market value. Simultaneously, Quick Ratio, Debt to Asset Ratio, and Return on Assets have a significant effect on firm value. The coefficient of determination (R²) value of 0.510 indicates that 51.0% of firm value variation can be explained by the three independent variables, while the remaining 49.0% is explained by other factors outside this study.

LIQUIDITY, PROFITABILITY, AND CAPITAL STRUCTURE: THEIR ROLE IN SHAPING FIRM VALUE IN FOOD & BEVERAGE (2021–2023)

Dama, Nur Indah Novita, Dama, Hais, Monoarfa, Mohamad Agus Salim
Abstract: This study aims to analyze the effect of liquidity, profitability, and capital structure on firm value in Food and Beverage companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2021–2023. Firm value is proxied by Price… ice to Book Value (PBV) and Tobin’s Q. Liquidity is measured using Current Ratio (CR) and Quick Ratio (QR), profitability is measured using Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE), while capital structure is measured using Debt to Asset Ratio (DAR) and Debt to Equity Ratio (DER). This research employed a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from annual financial reports of Food and Beverage companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange The sampling technique used in this study was purposive sampling, with a sample size of 38 companies. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression with classical assumption tests, t-test, F-test, and coefficient of determination (R²). The results show that CR has a positive and significant effect on PBV and Tobin’s Q. QR has a negative and significant effect on PBV, but no significant effect on Tobin’s Q. ROA has a positive and significant effect on both PBV and Tobin’s Q. ROE has a positive and significant effect on PBV, but a negative and significant effect on Tobin’s Q. DAR has a negative and significant effect on PBV, but no significant effect on Tobin’s Q. DER has no significant effect on both proxies of firm value. Simultaneously, liquidity, profitability, and capital structure significantly affect firm value. These findings indicate that firm value is determined by the combined role of financial stability, profitability, and financing decisions.

THE EFFECT OF CAPITAL STRUCTURE ON FIRM VALUE WITH PROFITABILITY AS A MODERATING VARIABLE (Case Study of Consumer Non-Cyclical Sector Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2021–2024 Period)

Ibrahim, Fauzia Naningsi, Dama, Hais, Ishak, Idham Masri
Abstract: This study aims to analyze the effect of capital structure on firm value with profitability as a moderating variable in consumer non-cyclical sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2021–2024. Capital… pital structure was measured using Debt to Asset Ratio (DAR) and Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), firm value was proxied by Price to Book Value (PBV), while profitability was measured using Return on Assets (ROA). This research applied a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from annual financial reports. The sample consisted of 154 observations selected through purposive sampling. Data analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression and Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) with SPSS software. The results show that DAR has a positive and significant effect on firm value, while DER has a negative but insignificant effect on firm value. Simultaneously, DAR and DER significantly affect firm value. Furthermore, profitability (ROA) is proven to strengthen the relationship between DAR and firm value as well as between DER and firm value. These findings indicate that an optimal capital structure supported by strong profitability can increase firm value. Therefore, companies should maintain a balanced financing composition and improve profitability to enhance market valuation.

EXCHANGE RATE AS A MODERATOR IN THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LIQUIDITY AND LEVERAGE ON STOCK RETURNS

Abdullah, Sohipa Asazdia, Monoarfa, Mohamad Agus Salim, Ishak, Idham Masri
Abstract: This study aims to examine the effect of the Current Ratio (CR) and Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) on stock returns, with the exchange rate as a moderating variable, in retail sub-sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock… ck Exchange during the 2019–2023 period. This research employed a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from annual financial reports and stock price data. The sampling technique used purposive sampling, resulting in 25 companies with 125 observations. Data analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression and Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA). The results indicate that the Current Ratio has a negative and significant effect on stock returns, meaning that excessively high liquidity tends to reduce stock returns. Debt to Equity Ratio also has a negative and significant effect on stock returns, indicating that higher leverage increases financial risk and lowers investor confidence. Simultaneously, Current Ratio and Debt to Equity Ratio significantly affect stock returns. However, the exchange rate has no effect on stock returns.  Furthermore, the exchange rate is unable to moderate the relationship between Current Ratio and stock returns, as well as between Debt to Equity Ratio and stock returns. These findings imply that internal company factors, particularly liquidity management and capital structure, are more dominant in influencing stock returns than external macroeconomic factors such as exchange rate fluctuations. Therefore, investors are advised to pay closer attention to financial fundamentals when making investment decisions in the retail sector.

THE EFFECT OF CURRENT RATIO (CR) AND DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO (DER) ON RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) IN ENERGY SECTOR COMPANIES LISTED ON THE INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE FOR THE PERIOD 2020–2024

Utina, Almuhajir Baihaqy, Noholo, Sahmin, Husain, Siti Pratiwi
Abstract: This study aims to analyze the effect of Current Ratio (CR) and Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) on Return on Assets (ROA) in energy sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the period 2020–2024. The research… search method employed is a quantitative approach with a causal associative design. The data used are secondary data obtained from companies’ financial statements, with a total sample of 110 observations. Data analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression with the assistance of SPSS version 26. The results show that partially, the Current Ratio (CR) has no significant effect on Return on Assets (ROA), with a significance value of 0.833. Meanwhile, the Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) has a negative and significant effect on Return on Assets (ROA), with a significance value of 0.000. Simultaneously, Current Ratio (CR) and Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) have a significant effect on Return on Assets (ROA), as indicated by an F-test significance value of 0.000. The coefficient of determination (Adjusted R Square) of 0.128 indicates that the independent variables explain 12.8% of the variation in ROA, while the remaining 87.2% is influenced by other factors outside the research model. This study concludes that capital structure plays a more dominant role in influencing profitability compared to liquidity in energy sector companies. Therefore, companies are expected to manage debt usage optimally to improve financial performance.

ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING (EMA) IN DISCLOSING ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS UNDER THE METRICS AND TARGETS PILLAR OF THE TASK FORCE ON CLIMATE-RELATED FINANCIAL DISCLOSURES (TCFD): ANALYSIS OF CONTRIBUTION TO SDG 13 (CLIMATE ACTION) IN COAL COMPANIES LISTED ON THE INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE FOR THE PERIOD 2022–2024

Radia, Siti, Amaliah, Tri Handayani, Mahdalena, Mahdalena
Abstract: This study aims to analyze the role of Environmental Management Accounting (EMA) in disclosing environmental risks under the metrics and targets pillar of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD), as… s well as its contribution to the achievement of SDG 13 (Climate Action) in coal companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2022–2024. This research employs a descriptive quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from sustainability reports. The sample consists of 17 coal companies selected through purposive sampling, resulting in 51 observations. Data analysis is conducted using content analysis with a dummy scoring method based on 17 indicators of the TCFD metrics and targets pillar. The results indicate that the level of environmental risk disclosure shows an increasing trend, from 37.71% in 2022 to 48.44% in 2024. However, the overall level remains moderate, indicating that companies are still in a transition phase toward more mature climate reporting practices. Basic indicators such as total emissions and Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions are widely disclosed, while advanced indicators such as Scope 3 emissions and emission reduction targets remain limited. The findings also reveal that the contribution to SDG 13 is uneven: strong in providing baseline emission data, moderate in emission intensity efficiency, and weak in comprehensive inventory and long-term mitigation strategies. Furthermore, companies are categorized into three groups—best practice, intermediate, and resistant—based on their level of disclosure and EMA readiness. Companies with more developed EMA systems demonstrate stronger contributions to climate action. Overall, the study concludes that the coal sector shows positive but not yet optimal alignment with SDG 13, requiring improvements in methodological transparency, Scope 3 measurement, and science-based emission targets.