Abstract:Abstract: A problem requires a solution to solve it. One of them is by using Prediction (Forcasting). Prediction is used to assess the prediction of conditions in the future. at AMIK Royal Kisaran, when it comes to making…
g lecture schedules often hampered because there is no estimated number of students. The data used in this study is the data history of the last 15 Academic Years, from 2003/2004 to 2017/2018. Then the data is processed with the Single Exponential Smoothing Method. Alpha value 0 <α <1. Single Exponential Smoothing makes a comparison with the alpha value until alpha is found which has the minimum error. To find the value of the error, the MSE (Mean Square Error) method is used. The results of the testing of this method are in the academic year 2018/2019 prediction of the number of students for the Informatics Management Study Program as many as 89 people and for Students for the Computer Engineering Study Program as many as 30 people. The Single Exponential Smoothing method can predict the number of students in the next period.
Keywords: Prediction; Number of Students; Single Exponential Smoothing; Alpha Value; MSE
Abstrak: Suatu masalah memerlukan sebuah solusi untuk menyelesaikannya. Salah satunya dengan menggunakan Prediksi (Forcasting). Prediksi digunakan untuk menilai prakiraan keadaan dimasa. di AMIK Royal Kisaran, ketika akan membuat jadwal kuliah sering terhambat karena tidak adanya perkiraan jumlah mahasiswa. Data yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah histori data 15 Tahun Akademik terakhir, mulai 2003/2004 sampai dengan 2017/2018. Kemudian data diolah dengan Metode Single Exponential Smoothing. Nilai alpha 0<α<1. Single Exponential Smoothing melakukan perbandingan dengan nilai alpha tersebut sampai ditemukan alpha yang memiliki error paling minimum. Untuk mencari nilai Error digunakan Metode MSE (Mean Square Error). Hasil dari pengujian terhadap metode ini adalah pada Tahun akademik 2018/2019 prediksi jumlah Mahasiswa untuk Program Studi Manajemen Informatika sebanyak 89 orang dan untuk Mahasiswa untuk Program Studi Teknik Komputer sebanyak 30 orang. Metode Single Exponential Smoothing dapat membantu prediksi jumlah mahasiwa pada satu periode kedepan
Kata kunci: Prediksi; Jumlah Mahasiswa; Single Exponential Smoothing; Nilai Alpha; MSE
Abstract:Medical disposable is one of important support tools in medical operational and must not be out of stock in order to deliver excellent service in hospital. The pharmacy department has to forecast the demand to supply information…
ormation for decision making in budgeting. In this paper, is comparing double moving average and double exponential smoothing method for 3 ml spuit for time series 01 January to 30 June 2017. The accuracy of forecasting is the most important and it can be measure with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) and RMSE (Root Mean Square Value). The smallest value of MAPE and RMSE is having the high accuracy of forecasting. The double moving average method has the smallest MAPE = 0.353 and RMSE = 95.8 compare to Exponential Smoothingand be the best option to use as method to forecast the medical disposable supply demand.
Abstract:This study examines how employees perceive and trust Algorithmic Performance Appraisal (APA) in digital-native and technology-driven companies. Adopting Organizational Justice Theory, the Trust in Technology Framework, and…
nd Cognitive Appraisal Theory, the research explores both the direct and indirect effects of APA on employee trust, with Perceived Procedural Fairness (PPF) as a mediating variable. The study uses a quantitative, cross-sectional approach, collecting data from 200 employees in technology-based organizations and analyzing the data with Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). Results show that APA significantly enhances both procedural fairness and employee trust, with PPF playing a partial mediating role in this relationship. These findings underscore the importance of transparency, procedural legitimacy, and avenues for employee voice in cultivating trust in algorithmic systems. The study’s theoretical contribution lies in its integration of multiple perspectives on trust and fairness within algorithmic HR management. The practical implication calls for the careful design and implementation of APA systems that employees perceive as fair and trustworthy. Future research should investigate these relationships in longitudinal and multi-contextual settings to deepen the understanding of trust dynamics in evolving AI-mediated work environments.
Abstract:This study aims to construct an integrated constellation model and determine optimal strategies for reinforcing lecturers’ professional commitment at leading private universities in Bogor. Utilizing the POP-SDM (Modeling…
ng and Optimization of Management Resources) framework, the research integrates elements of local wisdom and organizational support within a systemic approach to human resource development. The exploratory qualitative phase involved in-depth interviews and focus group discussions to uncover major determinants influencing professional commitment. From the thematic analysis, four principal variables emerged—teamwork, organizational climate, religiosity, and work motivation—which were validated through expert judgment. Quantitative verification was subsequently performed using the Partial Least Squares–Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) technique to examine both direct and indirect relationships among constructs. The analysis confirmed that all variables exert positive and significant effects on lecturers’ professional commitment, with work motivation being the most dominant factor. To refine improvement priorities, the SITOREM (Scientific Identification Theory for Conducting Operational Research in Educational Management) method was applied, identifying indicators that should be improved, maintained, or further developed. The findings offer empirical and practical insights, including: (1) a validated POP-SDM–based commitment model combining cultural and organizational dimensions; (2) evidence-based strategies to enhance lecturer professionalism; and (3) an optimization framework to guide sustainable lecturer development in higher education institutions.
Abstract:Penelitian ini berjudul Pengaruh Lingkungan Kerja Dan Beban Kerja Terhadap Kinerja Pegawai Di Subdirektorat Publikasi DJBC memiliki tujuan untuk mengetahui seberapa besar kontribusi dampak dari variabel independen terhadap…
ap dependen. Penelitian ini menggunakan kuantitatif dengan metode survei melakukan penyebaran kuesioner kepada 40 responden di Subdirektorat Publikasi, hasil survei diolah dengan menggunakan aplikasi SPSS versi 27 pada Windows. Dari hasil penelitian ini dapat jelaskan pada uji hipotesis berdasarkan hasil uji parsial (T) yaitu X1 terhadap Y secara parsial adalah nilai Sig 0,032 < 0,05 dan nilai t-hitung 2,223 > 2,026 sehingga Ho ditolak dan Ha diterima bahwa memiliki pengaruh dan signifikan, X2 terhadap Y secara parsial adalah nilai Sig 0,008 < 0,05 dan nilai t-hitung 2,787 > 2,026 sehingga Ho ditolak dan Ha diterima bahwa memiliki pengaruh dan signifikan. Serta hasil uji simultan (F) yaitu X1 dan X2 terhadap Y secara simultan adalah nilai Sig. 0,001 < dari 0,05 dan dengan hasil 13,599 > 3,252 sehingga menolak pendapat Ho dan menerima pendapat Ha yaitu memiliki pengaruh dan signifikan. pada uji koefisien determinasi dalam R Square adalah hasil nilai 0,424 atau 42,4%, sehingga X1 bersamaan X2 dalam model regresi (secara simultan) mempunyai kemampuan cukup dalam menjelaskan terhadap variabel Y, maka sisa dari (100% - 42,4%) adalah 57,6% atau 0,576 merupakan penyebab pengaruhnya dari faktor lain.
Abstract:Penelitian ini mengkaji pengaruh Kualitas Layanan E-Learning (ELSQ) terhadap loyalitas mahasiswa, yang dimediasi oleh kepuasan mahasiswa dan dimoderasi oleh nilai yang dirasakan, dalam konteks Program Magister Manajemen…
Pembelajaran Jarak Jauh (MMPJJ) di Universitas Telkom. Menggunakan desain kuantitatif kausal, data dikumpulkan dari 126 mahasiswa melalui kuesioner skala Likert online. Alat ukur menunjukkan validitas dan reliabilitas yang kuat (faktor beban > 0,70; Cronbach’s Alpha > 0.80). Analisis dilakukan dengan Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) menggunakan SmartPLS. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa ELSQ secara signifikan mempengaruhi kepuasan mahasiswa (β = 0.565, p < 0.001) dan loyalitas mahasiswa (β = 0.234, p = 0.025). Kepuasan mahasiswa secara kuat mempengaruhi loyalitas (β = 0.572, p < 0.001) dan bertindak sebagai mediator dalam hubungan antara ELSQ dan loyalitas (β = 0.329, p < 0.001). Nilai yang dirasakan memoderasi hubungan antara ELSQ dan kepuasan (β = 0.323, p < 0.001), menunjukkan bahwa nilai yang dirasakan yang lebih tinggi memperkuat kepuasan. Model ini mencapai daya penjelas moderat (R² = 0.580 untuk loyalitas; R² = 0.619 untuk kepuasan) dan relevansi prediktif yang kuat (Q² > 0.35). Temuan menyoroti kebutuhan akan perbaikan berkelanjutan dalam kualitas sistem, kompetensi instruktur, materi kursus, dan dukungan administratif untuk meningkatkan kepuasan dan memupuk loyalitas dalam program online sepenuhnya. Studi ini memperluas pemahaman teoretis tentang hubungan kualitas layanan–loyalitas dengan mengonfirmasi peran mediasi kepuasan dan peran moderasi nilai yang dirasakan, memberikan wawasan praktis untuk manajemen kualitas dalam pendidikan tinggi online.
Abstract:This study examines the influence of the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), focusing on Perceived Ease of Use (PEOU) and Perceived Usefulness (PU), on users’ Behavioral Intention (BI) to adopt and continue using M-Din, a…
a Sharia-based mobile banking application at Bank Muamalat in West Java. Employing a quantitative survey of 100 active M-Din users, data were analyzed using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). The results show that PEOU significantly affects PU, and both PEOU and PU significantly influence BI; additionally, PU partially mediates the effect of PEOU on BI. This research contributes to the digital banking literature by reaffirming TAM constructs within an Islamic finance context and offers practical recommendations for optimizing Sharia-compliant mobile banking strategies. Implications for enhancing user interface design and promoting key features to boost adoption are discussed.
Abstract:Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh faktor sosial-ekonomi terhadap adopsi sistem agroforestri di Provinsi Gorontalo. Agroforestri dipandang sebagai solusi berkelanjutan untuk mengatasi masalah lingkungan seperti…
ti banjir dan longsor melalui integrasi komponen pertanian, kehutanan, dan peternakan. Metode penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan regresi logistik, melibatkan 164 responden dari enam desa yang dipilih secara proporsional. Data dikumpulkan melalui survei, wawancara, observasi, dan dokumentasi, lalu dianalisis dengan statistik deskriptif, uji Chi-Square, dan regresi logistik biner. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa luas lahan (X5), penyuluhan (X8), dan keanggotaan kelompok tani hutan (KTH) (X7) menjadi faktor dominan yang memengaruhi adopsi. Petani dengan lahan ≥2 Ha memiliki peluang 201% lebih tinggi untuk mengadopsi agroforestri, sementara penyuluhan dan keanggotaan KTH meningkatkan peluang sebesar 2,75 kali dan 2,5 kali. Sebaliknya, usia (X1) dan pendidikan (X3) tidak berpengaruh signifikan, meskipun tren menunjukkan petani muda lebih terbuka pada inovasi. Analisis threshold (ambang batas skor 50 vs 60) mengungkap variasi adopsi antardesa, dengan Desa Tangga Barito memiliki tingkat adopsi tertinggi (87,5%) dan Bondawuna terendah (10,34%). Temuan ini selaras dengan literatur global yang menekankan pentingnya kapasitas teknis, jejaring sosial, dan kebijakan kontekstual. Rekomendasi strategis mencakup penyuluhan spesifik lokasi, model agroforestri yang ramah lahan sempit dan curam, serta insentif finansial bagi petani kecil. Penelitian juga menyarankan pendekatan berbasis data untuk merancang kebijakan adaptif, seperti penguatan kelompok tani dan konsolidasi lahan. Kontribusi teoretis melibatkan kerangka analisis threshold untuk memahami dinamika adopsi secara kontekstual, sedangkan implikasi praktis berfokus pada integrasi agroforestri dalam program pengentasan kemiskinan dan adaptasi iklim. Penelitian ini diharapkan menjadi referensi dalam pengembangan kebijakan pertanian berkelanjutan di Indonesia, terutama di wilayah dengan tantangan biofisik dan struktural seperti Gorontalo. Dengan pendekatan partisipatif yang melibatkan pemerintah daerah, NGO, dan kelompok petani, agroforestri dapat menjadi pilar utama dalam pengelolaan sumber daya alam yang harmonis antara ekologi, ekonomi, dan sosial.
Abstract:The purpose of this study is to determine how the quality of teaching and learning process at Mis Al-Hilaal Wanakarta school is impacted by the aspects of teacher discipline. This study employs quantitative approach and…
uses saturated sample which involves twelve teachers. The data is gathered by observation, questionnaires with five possible answers on a Likert scale score choice form that are distributed to twelve teachers, and documentation as a supplementary method. The data is analyzed using a straightforward linear regression test that includes Spearman rank correlation and the determination coefficient test, t test, or partial test, and F test, or simultaneous test. According to the study's findings, (H_0) is rejected and (Ha) is accepted, indicating a strong and positive relationship between the aspects of teacher discipline and the quality of teaching and learning process. This is supported by the Spearman rank correlation coefficient value of 0.6137. Based on the R Square value of 0.517 obtained from the simple linear regression test, there is a 51.7% impact of the teacher discipline aspects on the quality of teaching and learning process. The results of the t test shows that the variable aspects of teacher discipline have a significant impact on the quality of the teaching and learning process (t value (3.269) > t table (1.812) with a significance of 0.008 <0.05), and the results of the F test shows that the F value is 10.683 with a significance of 0.008 <0.05.
Abstract:This research article aims to discover the relationship of knowledge and attitudes with self-awareness in implementing health protocol in Cilacap sub-district Post-pandemic. This research is a type of analytical research…
and the design used in this research is cross sectional. This research uses primary data and secondary data. Samples were 112 people. The instrument used was a structured questionnaire. Data were analyzed with chi-square test. Results showed that knowledge OR; 2,918 95% Cl=(1,306-6,522), attitude OR; 2,293 95% Cl=(1,305-5,083), were knowledge and attitude are associated with self awareness in implementing health protocols.