Abstract:Inflation is a fundamental measure of macroeconomic stability that negatively impacts the nation's economy and affects many other macroeconomic variables. Thus, in this study, the major objective was based on modeling and…
d forecasting inflation in Ethiopia and its components using a VAR model. The analysis was based on annual data from 1992 to 2021, encompassing 30 years. The results indicated that all five series were non-stationary at the level but stationary after their first differencing at a 5% level of significance. Johansen's cointegration tests were conducted. The results indicated the presence of at least one co-integration relationship between the variables. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) was fitted to model short run and long run relationships among inflation and other macro-econometric series such as GDP growth, government expenditure, money supply, and imports, and the result indicated that the coefficient of error correction term is negative (-0.279), which indicated that the fitted VECM model continues to move toward long run equilibrium and converges. Granger causality tests were employed to explore potential causal relationships. Impulse response analysis and variance decomposition were used to determine the short-run interactions among the variables. Finally, using the fitted model, out-of-sample forecasts were produced, yielding forecasted plots and values for the endogenous variables. According to the forecasted inflation rates for the next five years, prices are projected to decrease by approximately 18.0% in 2022, 6.8% in 2023, and then increase by approximately 8.3% in 2024. Subsequently, prices are expected to decrease by approximately 2% in 2025 and 5% in 2026 over the specified time periods.
Abstract:Water is a very important natural resource for help to survive. Water perpendicularoma on providing has impacts. Unwise overuse of water resources you are horrified can jeopardize their sustainability. The objective of this…
his study is to estimate the economic value of spring water utilization in Rangomari village. The method used is Willingness to Pay (WTP) Analysis using Conditional Valuation Method (CVM). As a result, the average I WTP is IDR 5,788.46 per month and the total IWTP is IDR 5,788.46 per month. 1,724,961.54 per month. The annual economic value of this urinary tract in Rangomali village is IDR 20,699,538.5. Governments are expected to implement payment of environmental services for water use and modernization of source management.
Abstract:This study aims to determine the financial performance of PT. Gudang Garam Tbk in terms of profitability ratio analysis for 2019-2022. The type of research used is descriptive quantitative. The data collection technique…
in this study uses documentation techniques in the form of balance sheets and income statements for 2018-2022. The profitability ratios used in this study include Gross Profit Margin (GPM), Net Profit Margin (NPM), Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), and Earnings Per Share (EPS). The results showed that the financial performance of PT. Gudang Garam Tbk for the last four years has tended to be unfavorable, because the average value of the profitability ratio is below the expected standard of measurement. To overcome the problem of declining financial performance, PT. Gudang Garam Tbk must identify and control production and distribution costs more efficiently, develop appropriate pricing and sales strategies, manage accounts receivable properly, and be prudent in using loans with favorable interest rates to increase the company's net profit.
Abstract:This study aims to (1) find out the composition of shares that can be formed into an optimal portfolio of IDX High Dividend 20 shares listed on the IDX for the period 2019 - 2022 using the single index model. (2) Knowing…
the proportion of funds that must be invested in each of the IDX High Dividend 20 shares listed on the IDX for the 2019 - 2022 period which forms a portfolio. (3) Knowing the amount of return and risk from the optimal IDX High Dividend 20 portfolio recorded on the IDX for the period 2019 - 2022 using the single index model. The sample of this research is 29 company shares selected based on purposive sampling technique. Data collection techniques are carried out with documentation. Data analysis technique uses a single index model.
The results of this study indicate that there are 12 company shares included in the optimal portfolio, namely ADRO of 11.9%, BBCA of 8.7%, BBRI of 2.5%, BMRI of 13.1%, LPPF of 3.5%, ITMG of 11.3%, PTBA of 0.6% , TOWR 0.5%, DMAS 2.2%, ANTM 14.5%, HEXA 25.3%, and MPMX 5.9%. The expected return that investors get from the optimal portfolio formed is 0.0279 or 2.79% per month. The portfolio risk borne by the investor on investment from the optimal portfolio is (portfolio variance of 0.0144 or 1.44% and a standard deviation of 0.12 or 12% per month.
Abstract:The advancement of information technology has accelerated digital transformation in healthcare, particularly through the implementation of Electronic Medical Records (EMRs). However, many healthcare facilities still use…
hybrid systems that combine manual and digital record-keeping without proper integration, resulting in inefficient patient data management. This study aims to develop an integrated hybrid Electronic Medical Record system at Damai Clinic to improve healthcare services and patient data management. A descriptive research method with a system development approach was employed through system analysis, problem identification, and system design. The results indicate that the proposed system successfully integrates patient registration, medical examination, pharmacy services, payment, and reporting into a single system. The hybrid implementation allows paper-based records to remain as supporting archives while electronic records become the primary source of patient information. The developed system is expected to improve service efficiency, reduce documentation errors, enhance data security, and support digital transformation in healthcare facilities.
Abstract:Student independence and creativity are two important aspects in educational development that need to be developed to prepare students to face future challenges. These two aspects can develop well through the implementation…
ion of child-friendly educational management, which creates an environment that supports active learning and character development. This research aims to determine the impact of implementing child-friendly education management on student independence and creativity at Integrated Islamic Elementary School (SDIT) Buah Hati. This research uses quantitative methods with descriptive research design. Data collection techniques were carried out through observation, questionnaires and interviews with students and teachers. The data sources for this research are fifth grade students and teachers at SDIT Buah Hati. The collected data was analyzed using descriptive statistical techniques to describe current conditions. The research results showed a significant increase in the aspects of independence, creativity, time discipline, ability to work together, and students' self-confidence after implementing child-friendly education management. Student independence increased by 20%, creativity increased by 20%, and time discipline and the ability to work together also showed significant improvements. The implication of this research is that the implementation of child-friendly educational management is effective in increasing student independence and creativity. Therefore, schools are expected to implement child-friendly principles in every aspect of learning to support maximum student development.
Abstract:This study investigates the difficulties faced by fourth-grade students at SDN 060878 Krakatau Medan Timur in understanding English classroom instructions. The research identifies four main obstacles: limited vocabulary…
mastery, low confidence and motivation, less varied teaching strategies, and minimal English exposure outside school. The study also highlights effective teacher efforts such as repeating instructions, providing bilingual explanations, using demonstrations, and implementing interactive activities. These findings are expected to guide teachers in creating more adaptive and supportive instructional practices in elementary English learning.
Abstract:This activity aims to foster children’s literacy as an effort to enhance inspiration at SDN Cikoneng, Tugu Utara Village, Cisarua Sub-district, Bogor Regency. Children’s literacy is considered a key factor in developing…
ing critical and creative thinking skills that can influence their personal and academic growth. Through approaches involving various reading, writing, and discussion activities, this literacy program is expected to encourage students’ motivation and inspiration to further develop their potential. This activity examines various methods applied in literacy practices, such as providing engaging reading materials, training in creative writing skills, and organizing interactive discussions that actively involve students. The expected outcomes include an increased interest in reading and writing, as well as the formation of positive attitudes toward the learning process, which can have a long-term impact on students’ academic and character development. The findings of this study provide insights into the importance of literacy as a means to improve the quality of education at the elementary level, as well as a source of inspiration for students to achieve their best potential.
Abstract:The digital marketing strategy training activity using the TikTok social media platform for hydroponic farmers in Pandahan Village aims to enhance their capability in digitally marketing hydroponic vegetable products. This…
is training was designed to provide both theoretical understanding and practical hands-on experience in creating creative content, utilizing TikTok Shop, and TikTok Ads as promotional tools. The training results demonstrated a significant increase in participants' knowledge and skills in leveraging TikTok features for digital marketing. The implementation carried out by the participants successfully expanded their market reach and increased consumer interaction through their TikTok accounts. Despite challenges related to the need for ongoing mentoring, this activity has had a tangible positive impact on the development of local hydroponic businesses. This training is expected to become a starting point for business actors to continue innovating and optimizing digital marketing strategies to face the dynamics of the modern market.
Abstract:The transition into emerging adulthood frequently induces life-direction anxiety, commonly known as a quarter-life crisis, among university students. This correlational quantitative investigation was designed to evaluate…
the correlation between the intensity of the quarter-life crisis (Variable X) and self-esteem (Variable Y) among active students at the State Christian Institute of Kupang (IAKN Kupang). Employing a sample of 30 participants gathered via probability sampling techniques, data collection was conducted utilizing Likert-scale questionnaires and statistically processed using the Pearson Product Moment correlation formula. The empirical analysis demonstrates a significant and highly robust positive correlation between the investigated constructs ($r = 0.769$; $p = 0.000$). This outcome highlights a noteworthy theoretical anomaly, wherein heightened levels of crisis are unexpectedly linked with enhanced self-esteem. This distinct psychological pattern is driven by active internal introspection, a purposeful pursuit of life meaning, and personal identity consolidation amid adversity. Furthermore, the campus culture at IAKN Kupang—characterized by comprehensive spiritual mentoring, robust peer networks, and a nurturing social atmosphere—serves as a constructive emotional buffer. These external dynamics empower students to navigate developmental stress adaptively, demonstrating that rather than diminishing their self-worth, the identity crisis ultimately bolsters their personal resilience.