Abstract:The rapid growth of the hotel industry requires hotels to improve operational planning, one of which is by forecasting room reservations. Inaccurate forecasting may cause an imbalance between room availability and customer…
er demand. This study aims to compare the Weighted Moving Average and Single Exponential Smoothing algorithms in forecasting room reservations at Raz Hotel and Convention Medan using historical data from January 2025 to May 2026. The research method consisted of data collection, forecasting using both algorithms, and accuracy evaluation through Mean Absolute Deviation, Mean Squared Error, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error. The results indicate that the Single Exponential Smoothing algorithm achieved a Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 15.24%, which is lower than the 15.63% obtained by the Weighted Moving Average algorithm. Furthermore, the Single Exponential Smoothing algorithm predicted 835.90 room reservations for June 2026. Therefore, it can be concluded that the Single Exponential Smoothing algorithm provides better forecasting accuracy and is more suitable for predicting room reservations at Raz Hotel and Convention Medan.
Abstract:Improper rice stock management in wholesale businesses can lead to shortages or overstock that negatively impact operational efficiency. This study aims to forecast rice stock needs at Warung Grosir Giran using the Weighted…
ted Moving Average method with a weighting of 1:2:3, based on historical data from January 2025 to June 2026. A quantitative approach with time series forecasting technique was applied. Accuracy was evaluated using Mean Absolute Deviation, Mean Squared Error, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error. The results show that the forecasted rice stock requirement for July 2026 is 1,456.67 kg. The accuracy evaluation yielded a Mean Absolute Deviation of 78.22, Mean Squared Error of 9,288.15, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 5.71%, which is classified as highly accurate. In conclusion, the Weighted Moving Average method is suitable as a decision-support tool for rice stock management at Warung Grosir Giran.
Abstract:PDAM Tirta Kualo is a regional company that supplies clean water to the surrounding community. Accurate estimation of water bill amounts is crucial to assist PDAMs in managing resources and finances efficiently. This study…
dy aims to create a prediction model for total water bills using the linear regression method. The data used is historical customer billing data which is analyzed to identify the relationship between air usage volume and total billing.
The findings show that a simple regression model can describe the water bill amount with an impressive accuracy of 0.9926. This precise model allows it to be used effectively in PDAM financial planning and assists customers in estimating their water usage.
Abstract:Pembentukan Provinsi Papua Selatan pada tahun 2022 menghadirkan dinamika politik identitas yang kompleks dan berlapis, melibatkan negara, elite lokal, dan masyarakat adat dalam proses pemekaran daerah. Penelitian ini bertujuan…
tujuan menganalisis bagaimana politik identitas dikonstruksi, diperebutkan, dan dimobilisasi dalam konteks pembentukan provinsi baru tersebut. Menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif deskriptif dengan desain studi kasus intrinsik, penelitian dilakukan di empat kabupaten, Merauke, Mappi, Asmat, dan Boven Digoel., melalui wawancara mendalam, observasi non-partisipatif, serta analisis dokumen kebijakan dan literatur ilmiah. Analisis tematik digunakan untuk mengidentifikasi pola dan makna dalam dinamika identitas yang muncul. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa politik identitas memainkan peran ganda: sebagai narasi pemersatu untuk melegitimasi pemekaran dan sebagai sumber fragmentasi akibat diferensiasi identitas sub-etnis. Elite lokal memanfaatkan identitas kultural dan historis untuk memperoleh legitimasi politik, sementara masyarakat adat menggunakan identitas sebagai alat negosiasi representasi dan kontrol atas sumber daya. Di sisi lain, negara menempatkan pemekaran sebagai strategi stabilisasi dan percepatan pembangunan. Perbedaan orientasi ini menciptakan ruang negosiasi yang terus berlangsung dalam konsolidasi pemerintahan Papua Selatan. Penelitian ini menegaskan bahwa keberhasilan provinsi baru bergantung pada kemampuan mengelola identitas secara inklusif, memastikan representasi OAP, dan mencegah dominasi elite dalam struktur kekuasaan daerah.
Abstract:Wilayah Papua Selatan mengalami dinamika sosial yang kompleks akibat interaksi antara masyarakat adat Papua dan pendatang dari wilayah lain di Indonesia. Konflik identitas yang terjadi tidak hanya berkaitan dengan perbedaan…
aan budaya dan agama, tetapi juga menyangkut ketimpangan ekonomi, marginalisasi politik, dan pembangunan yang belum merata. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor- faktor yang memicu konflik identitas dan menilai upaya integrasi sosial yang telah dilakukan oleh pemerintah dan masyarakat sipil. Dengan pendekatan kualitatif melalui studi pustaka dan wawancara sekunder, penelitian ini menemukan bahwa konflik identitas di Papua Selatan bersifat struktural dan historis, serta membutuhkan pendekatan interkultural yang berkelanjutan untuk menciptakan integrasi sosial yang inklusif.
Abstract:Wilayah Papua Selatan mengalami dinamika sosial yang kompleks akibat interaksi antara masyarakat adat Papua dan pendatang dari wilayah lain di Indonesia. Konflik identitas yang terjadi tidak hanya berkaitan dengan perbedaan…
aan budaya dan agama, tetapi juga menyangkut ketimpangan ekonomi, marginalisasi politik, dan pembangunan yang belum merata. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor- faktor yang memicu konflik identitas dan menilai upaya integrasi sosial yang telah dilakukan oleh pemerintah dan masyarakat sipil. Dengan pendekatan kualitatif melalui studi pustaka dan wawancara sekunder, penelitian ini menemukan bahwa konflik identitas di Papua Selatan bersifat struktural dan historis, serta membutuhkan pendekatan interkultural yang berkelanjutan untuk menciptakan integrasi sosial yang inklusif.
Abstract:This study aims to analyze the factors influencing the social interaction of the Kanum ethnic group as cross-border actors between the Sota area (Indonesia) and Waiber (Papua New Guinea). The Kanum people are indigenous…
communities residing on both sides of the border, sharing strong historical, cultural, and economic ties. The research was conducted in Kampung Sota, Sota District, Merauke Regency, South Papua Province, using a qualitative method with a descriptive approach and interactive model analysis by Miles, Huberman, and Saldana. The findings reveal that the key supporting factors for social interaction are mostly located in Sota-Indonesia, including better geographic access, infrastructure availability, border pass policy, favorable security conditions, and active economic and educational activities. On the other hand, the main hindering factors are found in Waiber-PNG, such as difficult geographic access, lack of infrastructure, limited governmental policies, and issues related to civil registration. Culturally and socially, the Kanum people experience no barriers due to shared values, traditions, and language. This study concludes that cross-border interdependence is not solely determined by national boundaries but also shaped by socio-cultural dynamics and inclusive policies.
Keywords: Kanum ethnic, social interaction, cross-border, border, interdependence.
Abstract:Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis peran veteran dalam membangun dan meningkatkan semangat nasionalisme di kalangan generasi muda, khususnya anggota Paskibraka Provinsi Sulawesi Tenggara tahun 2025. Kegiatan sosialisasi…
ialisasi dan edukasi ini merupakan rangkaian kegiatan yang diselenggarakan oleh Badan Kesatuan Bangsa dan Politik (Kesbangpol) Provinsi Sulawesi Tenggara dalam memberikan materi kepada anggota Paskibraka sesuai arahan dari Gubernur Provinsi Sulawesi Tenggara serta menindaklanjuti Surat Deputi Bidang Pendidikan dan Pelatihan BPIP RI. Penguatan nasionalisme melalui keterlibatan langsung para veteran terbukti efektif dalam membangun kesadaran kebangsaan generasi muda, khususnya dalam konteks pembinaan Paskibraka. Interaksi langsung antara peserta dan veteran menghadirkan pembelajaran historis yang autentik dan bermakna. Hal itu diyakini karena Veteran adalah pelaku sejarah langsung bangsa ini dan menjadi sumber sejarah dan sumber pembelajaran terutama dalam peningkatan nasionalisme, semangat kebangsaan dan nilai-nilai kejuangan.
Abstract:Suffering constitutes an inseparable aspect of the faith journey of believers; however, this reality is frequently misunderstood as a sign of divine punishment or spiritual failure. Such a perception has been further reinforced…
nforced by the influence of prosperity theology, which emphasizes material success, life comfort, and the absence of suffering as indicators of genuine faith. This situation raises a significant theological concern regarding how believers should properly understand and respond to suffering based on the testimony of Scripture. This study aims to examine the attitude that believers should adopt when facing suffering according to 1 Peter 4:12-19 and to elucidate the theological significance of suffering for the Christian life of faith. A qualitative approach employing a biblical–exegetical method is utilized to analyze the text through an examination of its historical, literary, and theological contexts. Data were collected through a literature review of the Bible, biblical commentaries, theological works, and relevant academic journal articles in order to obtain a comprehensive understanding of the theological message conveyed by the Apostle Peter. The findings indicate that suffering experienced by believers is neither unexpected nor contradictory to faith but rather an integral component of the calling to follow Christ. The Petrine epistle emphasizes that suffering functions as a means of refining faith, a form of participation in the sufferings of Christ, and an opportunity to glorify God through steadfast faithfulness. Believers are therefore called to respond to suffering with spiritual joy, perseverance in faith, and wholehearted trust in the faithful will of God. The study concludes that suffering possesses profound theological significance that shapes spiritual maturity and deepens one’s relationship with Christ. The novelty of this research lies in its reaffirmation of the biblical perspective on suffering as a constructive element of the Christian life, challenging the paradigm of prosperity theology while enriching pastoral understanding of faithful responses to suffering.
Abstract:The crisis of integrity, ethical disorientation, and the declining quality of strategic decision-making in contemporary leadership demand a robust and transhistorical normative foundation. The figure of King Solomon in ancient…
ncient Israelite tradition represents a prototype of leadership legitimized by divine wisdom, making it critically relevant for scholarly examination. This study addresses the problem of how the construction of Solomon’s character and the praxis of his wisdom in Old Testament texts can be transformed into a conceptual paradigm for modern leadership without falling into historical romanticism. The objective of this research is to formulate a theoretical leadership model grounded in biblical wisdom through an analysis of Solomon’s character, theological orientation, and decision-making patterns. The method employed is a theological hermeneutical approach integrated with interdisciplinary literature studies, including leadership theory, public ethics, and Old Testament theology. The analysis focuses on key narratives that portray the judicial, administrative, and spiritual dimensions of Solomon’s leadership. The findings indicate that Solomon’s wisdom is theocentric, deliberative, and oriented toward distributive justice, thereby shaping an integrative and visionary model of leadership. The relevance of these findings lies in their capacity to offer a normative framework for leadership formation rooted in transcendent morality while remaining adaptive to modern social complexity. The novelty of this study resides in the formulation of a hermeneutical reconstruction model of Solomonic wisdom as a normative-strategic paradigm for the development of contemporary leadership theory based on sacred texts.