Abstract:Inflation is a fundamental measure of macroeconomic stability that negatively impacts the nation's economy and affects many other macroeconomic variables. Thus, in this study, the major objective was based on modeling and…
d forecasting inflation in Ethiopia and its components using a VAR model. The analysis was based on annual data from 1992 to 2021, encompassing 30 years. The results indicated that all five series were non-stationary at the level but stationary after their first differencing at a 5% level of significance. Johansen's cointegration tests were conducted. The results indicated the presence of at least one co-integration relationship between the variables. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) was fitted to model short run and long run relationships among inflation and other macro-econometric series such as GDP growth, government expenditure, money supply, and imports, and the result indicated that the coefficient of error correction term is negative (-0.279), which indicated that the fitted VECM model continues to move toward long run equilibrium and converges. Granger causality tests were employed to explore potential causal relationships. Impulse response analysis and variance decomposition were used to determine the short-run interactions among the variables. Finally, using the fitted model, out-of-sample forecasts were produced, yielding forecasted plots and values for the endogenous variables. According to the forecasted inflation rates for the next five years, prices are projected to decrease by approximately 18.0% in 2022, 6.8% in 2023, and then increase by approximately 8.3% in 2024. Subsequently, prices are expected to decrease by approximately 2% in 2025 and 5% in 2026 over the specified time periods.
Abstract:This study examined the influence of Education and Training, Work Motivation, and Leadership Style on the performance of female Civil Servants (ASN) in the city of Makassar. Using a quantitative causal method, this research…
rch collected data from 100 samples determined based on the Slovin formula. Data analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression with SPSS version 25. The results of the study showed that all independent variables had a significant impact on employee performance. Validity and reliability tests confirmed the reliability of the research instrument. The regression model indicated that an increase in the variables of Education and Training, Work Motivation, and Leadership Style was positively associated with an improvement in employee performance. The coefficient of determination (Adjusted R Square) of 31% indicated that independent variables influenced 31% of the variance in employee performance, while the rest was influenced by other factors.This research confirms that education and training are important for improving the quality and performance of employees. Work motivation significantly affects performance, and effective leadership style positively contributes to employee performance. In conclusion, Education and Training, Work Motivation, and Leadership Style collectively and partially have a significant impact on the performance of female ASN employees in the city of Makassar.
Abstract:This research was conducted with the aim of knowing, analyzing, and testing the effect of profitability, liquidity, solvency, and activity on the value of manufacturing companies in the food and beverage sub-sector listed…
d on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2018-2022 period. Profitability is measured by Return on Equity, liquidity is measured by the Current Ratio, solvency is measured by the Debt to Equity Ratio, and activity is measured by Total Asset Turnover. This study uses a type of quantitative research with a comparative causal approach. The population used in this study were 30 food and beverage sub-sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2018-2022 period. The research sample was taken using a purposive sampling technique. so that a sample of 11 food and beverage sub-sector companies were obtained which were listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2018-2022 period. The analytical method used is multiple linear regression analysis using the SPSS version 21 program. The results of this study state that profitability has a positive and significant effect on firm value. Solvability has a positive and insignificant effect on firm value. liquidity and activity have a negative and insignificant effect on firm value.
Abstract:The primary objective of this study is to investigate the impact of the implementation of performance allowance policies and leadership on employee performance within the context of Haji Makassar General Hospital. The quantitative…
antitative research methodology aims to elucidate the causal relationship between the variables under examination. The population under investigation consisted of 67 employees of Haji Makassar General Hospital, and the entire population was included as the sample for this study. The data collection techniques included questionnaires, documentation analysis, interviews, and an extensive literature review. The data analysis methodology contained multiple regression analysis and hypothesis testing in partial and simultaneous manners. The research findings indicate that the variables of performance allowance policies and leadership engagement exhibit a positive and significant influence on employee performance at Haji Makassar General Hospital. In other words, the research hypothesi.
Abstract:The purpose of this study to see the effect of the campaigning for green marketing. This research aims to determine the effect of green marketing, service quality on customer loyalty through customer satisfaction as an intervening…
ntervening variable. The method used is a quantitative method with descriptive and causality research types, as well as the SEM-PLS analysis method. The final sample was 224 Starbucks Coffee customers in Makassar City. Based on the results of the study it was concluded that green marketing and service quality have a positive and significant effect on customer loyalty either directly or through customer satisfaction as an intervening variable.
Abstract:This study aimed to analyze the effect of brand image and perceived quality on willingness to pay premium for local Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSME) products. Amid increasingly intense market competition with…
imported goods and national brands, local MSMEs are required to build strong brand image and good perceived quality so that consumers are willing to pay a premium price. A quantitative approach with a causal research design was employed. The study population consisted of consumers who had purchased local MSME products within the past three months in Sukabumi and its surrounding areas. A total of 220 respondents were selected using purposive sampling. Data were collected through questionnaires and analyzed using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) with AMOS 24 software. The results show that brand image has a positive and significant effect on willingness to pay premium with a coefficient of 0.45 (p<0.01), and perceived quality has a positive and significant effect with a coefficient of 0.39 (p<0.01). Simultaneously, both variables explain 54.2% of the variance in willingness to pay premium. These findings confirm that strengthening brand image and improving consumer-perceived product quality are key strategies for MSME actors to increase the selling value and competitiveness of local products
Abstract:This study aims to examine the influence of tourist attractions, facilities, and accessibility on tourist satisfaction at the Pondok Halimun Tourist Destination, Sukabumi Regency. The research employed a quantitative approach…
roach using a causal associative design. The population consisted of tourists who visited Pondok Halimun between April and July 2025. A total of 95 respondents were selected using accidental sampling techniques. Data were collected through questionnaires measured on a five-point Likert scale and analyzed using multiple linear regression with SPSS software.
The results indicate that tourist attractions, facilities, and accessibility individually have a positive and significant effect on tourist satisfaction. Furthermore, the simultaneous test confirms that these three variables collectively have a strong influence on tourist satisfaction. The coefficient of determination reveals that a substantial proportion of tourist satisfaction can be explained by the combined effects of tourist attractions, facilities, and accessibility. These findings suggest that integrated destination management focusing on attraction quality, adequate facilities, and ease of access is essential to enhance tourist satisfaction and support sustainable tourism development.
Abstract:This study aims to examine the effect of job satisfaction and work motivation on organizational commitment of employees at the Civil Service Police Unit (Satpol PP) of Bogor Regency. The research employed a quantitative…
causal approach with a population of 65 employees working in the Guidance and Inspection Division of Satpol PP Bogor Regency. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression. The results revealed that, partially, both job satisfaction and work motivation have a significant effect on organizational commitment, as indicated by the t-value being greater than the t-table. Simultaneously, both variables also showed a significant effect with a P Value of 20.706 and Sig. 0.000 < 0.05. The Adjusted R Square value of 0.381 indicates that job satisfaction and work motivation contribute 38.1% to organizational commitment, while the remaining 61.9% is influenced by other factors not examined in this study. The regression equation obtained is Y = 13.869 + 0.271X1 + 0.449X2, which demonstrates a positive influence of both independent variables on organizational commitment. Among the two variables, work motivation was found to be the most dominant factor, with a regression coefficient of 0.449.
Abstract:The development of digital technology in education is driving the transformation of history learning from a textual approach to a visual and interactive approach. In the context of Islamic education, learning Islamic Cultural…
tural History (ISHC) requires strategies that can build students' historical literacy reflectively and contextually. This study aims to describe and analyze the process of constructing students' historical literacy through digital animated video-based ISHC learning at Madrasah Aliyah Fathanul Burhan, Tempuran District. This research used a qualitative approach with a case study approach. Data were collected through participant observation, in-depth interviews, and documentation studies, then analyzed using an interactive model through the stages of reduction, presentation, and conclusion drawing. The results show that the use of digital animated video integrated into the learning design fosters chronological understanding, causal analysis skills, and active student engagement in reflective discussions. The teacher's role as a facilitator is a key factor in guiding students' interpretation of visual content, ensuring a systematic process of meaning construction. The implications of this research emphasize the importance of integrating digital pedagogy and dialogic facilitation in strengthening historical literacy in madrasas, as well as contributing to the development of SKI learning practices that are adaptive to the digital era.
Abstract:This study examines how core marching band structures can be adapted for Indonesian early childhood education through developmentally appropriate practice and performance theory. The study responds to concerns that preschool…
hool marching band activities may reproduce discipline-oriented rehearsal models designed for older learners. A one-group pre-test and post-test mixed-methods design was used with twenty Indonesian preschool children aged four to five years. Over six weeks, children participated in twelve adapted marching band sessions that combined simplified rhythmic patterns, child-scaled instruments, neat but developmentally adjusted formations, cooperative music-making, visual-motor activities, and responsive teacher facilitation. Quantitative data were collected using a four-point developmental observation rubric covering rhythmic competence, motor coordination, and socio-emotional engagement. Qualitative data were obtained from teacher reflective journals and post-intervention interviews. Paired-sample analysis showed higher post-test scores across the three developmental domains. The largest observed improvement appeared in socio-emotional engagement, followed by rhythmic competence and motor coordination. However, because the study did not include a control group, the findings should be interpreted as developmental changes observed after participation rather than definitive causal effects of the intervention. Qualitative findings indicated that children participated more confidently when teachers simplified rhythmic tasks, used clear and neat formations with reduced technical pressure, provided child-scaled instruments, supported safe movement, and acted as co-players and emotional co-regulators. The study reconceptualizes marching band routines not as rigid disciplinary scripts, but as adaptable performative frames that may support social participation, emotional regulation, rhythmic learning, motor coordination, cooperation, and creative agency when aligned with children’s developmental readiness.