Abstract:Abstract: The capital market plays an important role in describing the economic conditions of a country, and the IHSG is used as the main indicator to observe the movement of all stocks on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Because…
ecause stock data is volatile and non-linear, the forecasting process becomes challenging, requiring methods that can capture historical patterns more accurately. This study aims to predict IHSG movements using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model to generate stable short-term predictions. Historical IHSG data was used to train the model, and accuracy was evaluated using Mean Squared Error (MSE). The results show that the model obtained an MSE 6784.0207, RMSE 82.3652 and MAPE 0.88%, indicating a relatively low prediction error rate. The visualization shows that the model's predictions are very close to the actual data, and the 60-day forecasting results show a potential increase in the IHSG of 1.05%. Thus, the LSTM model is capable of providing fairly accurate IHSG predictions and can be a useful tool for investors in analyzing short-term market movements.
Keywords: forecasting; JCI; long short term memory
Abstrak: Pasar modal memiliki peran penting dalam menggambarkan kondisi ekonomi suatu negara, dan IHSG digunakan sebagai indikator utama untuk melihat pergerakan seluruh saham di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Karena data saham bersifat fluktuatif dan tidak linear, proses peramalan menjadi tantangan, sehingga dibutuhkan metode yang mampu menangkap pola historis secara lebih akurat. Penelitian ini bertujuan memprediksi pergerakan IHSG menggunakan model Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) untuk menghasilkan prediksi jangka pendek yang stabil. Data historis IHSG digunakan untuk melatih model, kemudian akurasi dievaluasi menggunakan Mean Squared Error (MSE). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa model memperoleh nilai MSE 6784.0207, RMSE 82.3652 dan MAPE 0.88% yang menandakan tingkat kesalahan prediksi relatif rendah. Visualisasi menunjukkan bahwa prediksi model sangat mendekati data aktual, dan hasil forecasting 60 hari ke depan memperlihatkan potensi kenaikan IHSG sebesar 1,05%. Dengan demikian, model LSTM mampu memberikan prediksi IHSG yang cukup akurat dan dapat menjadi alat bantu bagi investor dalam menganalisis pergerakan pasar jangka pendek.
Kata kunci: peramalan; JCI; memori jangka pendek
Abstract:Abstract: Indonesia is included in the category of developing countries and is a country with a relatively large population. According to data from the Pematang Siantar City Population and Civil Registration Service, West…
t Siantar District is one of the sub-districts in Pematang Siantar City whose population continues to increase and this will lead to an increase in poverty and unemployment rates. To overcome the above problems, a method is needed to analyze the population growth of West Siantar, one of which is using the Backpropagation method. This research will use training data starting from 2017-2021 and test data from 2018-2022. The results carried out using MATLAB R2011a software show the best architecture 4-19-1 with an accuracy of 100 with an MSE number of 0.00010031375 and an epoch value of 124777. Based on the research carried out, the population of West Siantar in the next year is 86067 people. It is concluded that backpropagation can be used as a method that makes it easier to search for predictions and the level of accuracy obtained depends on the architecture used.
Keywords: Birth; Growth; Matlab; Predictions; Resident
Abstrak: Indonesia termasuk dalam kategori negara berkembang dan merupakan negara dengan jumlah penduduk yang relatif besar. Menurut data Dinas Kependudukan dan Catatan Sipil Kota Pematang Siantar, Kecamatan Siantar Barat merupakan salah satu kecamatan di Kota Pematang Siantar yang jumlah penduduknya terus meningkat dan hal ini akan berdampak pada peningkatan angka kemiskinan dan pengangguran. Untuk mengatasi permasalahan diatas diperlukan suatu metode untuk menganalisis pertumbuhan penduduk Siantar Barat, salah satunya adalah dengan menggunakan metode Backpropagation. Penelitian ini akan menggunakan data latih mulai tahun 2017-2021 dan data uji 2018-2022. Hasil yang dilakukan dengan menggunakan software MATLAB R2011a menunjukkan arsitektur terbaik 4-19-1 dengan akurasi 100 dengan angka MSE 0.00010031375 dan nilai epoch 124777. Berdasarkan penelitian yang dilakukan, populasi Siantar Barat di tahun berikutnya sebanyak 86067 orang. Disimpulkan bahwa backpropagation dapat digunakan sebagai metode yang memudahkan pencarian prediksi dan tingkat akurasi yang diperoleh tergantung pada arsitektur yang digunakan.
Keywords: Kelahiran; Matlab; Pertumbuhan; Penduduk; Prediksi
Abstract:Abstract: as an agrarian country Indonesia has a variety of plants that can produce many different kinds of fruit from farmers, especially on average in each region has farmers who have crops that are suitable and in accordance…
ordance with the conditions of their respective regions. Banana is one of the most consumed fruits by the people. The banana plant farmers basically have a way to determine their own characteristics or character to determine the good or good fruit and suitable for consumption. Many farmers or fruit enthusiasts often find it difficult to determine the best fruit on bananas, with an alternative available decision support system with the FMCDM method to choose the best fruit from bananas. Fuzzy Multi Criteria Decision Making (FMCDM) is a decision making method that aims to determine the best alternative decisions from a number of alternatives based on certain criteria that will be taken into consideration. From the results of calculations using the above software, the results obtained are alternative (A3) obtaining the largest total integral value compared to other alternatives.
Keywords: Banana; decision support system; fuzzy multi criteria decision making
Abstrak: sebagai negara agraris Indonesia mempunyai ragam tanaman yang dapat menghasilkan banyak bermacam buah hasil petani, terlebih rata rata di setiap daerah mempunyai petani yang mempunyai tanaman yang cocok dan sesuai dengan kondisi daerah masing masing. Pisang merupakan salah buah yang paling banyak di konsumsi oleh masyarakat. Adapun petani tanaman buah pisang pada dasarnya mempunyai cara untuk menentukan ciri-ciri tersendiri atau karakter untuk menentukan buah bagus atau baik dan layak untuk dikonsumsi. Banyak kadang petani atau peminat buah susah menentukan buah yang terbaik pada buah pisang, dengan adanya alternatif yang ada sistem pendukung keputusan dengan metode FMCDM untuk memilih buah terbaik dari buah pisang. Fuzzy Multi Criteria Decision Making (FMCDM) adalah suatu metode pengambilan keputusan yang bertujuan untuk menetapkan alternatif keputusan terbaik dari sejumlah alternatif berdasarkan beberapa kriteria tertentu yang akan menjadi bahan pertimbangan. Dari hasil perhitungan menggunakan software di atas, diperoleh hasil yaitu alternatif (A3) memperoleh nilai total integral terbesar dibandingkan denganalternatif-alternatif yang lain.
Kata Kunci : Buah Pisang; Fuzzy Multi Criteria Decision Making; sistem penunjang keputusan
Abstract:Abstrack:To produce a 3D animated film requires a long process flow so that the processing time of manufacture is also prolonged. This is a constraint in the development of the local animation film in Indonesia for a long…
g time will lead to high production costs making it difficult to compete commercially with animated films from abroad who have abundant funds and the support of various parties in the country. Therefore, efforts to improve the competitiveness of local animated film and one of these efforts is by analyzing the stages of the manufacturing process and apply it to the process of making the actual 3D animated film.In general there are three stages of the filmmaking process, namely the 3D animation pre-production, production and post-production. Although this time the animation industry in Indonesia has not been detailed separates each of these stages, but still be important for designing detail the activities of these stages, in order to see the strengths and weaknesses of each process that existed at that stage. Therefore, this study was conducted with the hope to provide recommendations to improve the local animation industry.
Keywords: 3D Animation, Animation Film Pre-Production Stage, Princess Peacock Orange
Abstak: Untuk menghasilkan sebuah film animasi 3D membutuhkan alur proses yang panjang sehingga waktu pembuatannya juga berlangsung lama. Ini yang menjadi kendala dalam perkembangan film animasi lokal di Indonesia karena waktu yang yang panjang akan mengakibatkan tingginya cost production sehingga sulit untuk bersaing secara komersial dengan film animasi dari luar negeri yang memiliki dana berlimpah dan dukungan dari berbagai pihak di negaranya. Untuk itu diperlukan upaya untuk meningkatkan daya saing film animasi lokal dan salah satu upaya tersebut adalah dengan menganalisa tahapan-tahapan proses pembuatan dan menerapkannya pada proses pembuatan film animasi 3D yang sebenarnya.Secara umum ada 3 tahapan proses pembuatan film animasi 3D yaitu pra produksi, produksi dan paska produksi. Meskipun saat ini industri animasi di Indonesia belum secara detail memisahkan setiap tahapan tersebut, namun tetap menjadi penting untuk merancang detail aktifitas dari tahapan tersebut, dengan tujuan untuk melihat kekuatan dan kelemahan dari setiap proses yang ada pada tahapan tersebut.
Kata Kunci: Animasi 3D, Tahap Pra Produksi Film Animasi, Putri Merak Jingga
Abstract:This study examines the development of fiscal decentralization and its relationship to regional financial independence in Indonesia through a systematic literature review. The objective is to synthesize empirical and conceptual…
ceptual findings published between 2017 and 2026 concerning the determinants, measurement, and consequences of regional financial independence, particularly the role of local own-source revenue (PAD), intergovernmental transfers, and capital expenditure. Using a systematic search of Scopus, Google Scholar, and Garuda databases, 30 relevant articles were screened, selected, and analyzed following defined inclusion and exclusion criteria. The review finds that fiscal decentralization consistently strengthens local revenue mobilization and administrative accountability when accompanied by adequate institutional capacity, transparent governance, and effective management of natural and economic resources. However, the effectiveness of decentralization varies considerably across regions due to disparities in economic potential, human resources, and political commitment. The synthesis further shows that financial independence positively affects the quality of public services and regional economic growth, although the relationship is moderated by expenditure efficiency and governance quality. The novelty of this review lies in its integrative framework linking revenue-side determinants, expenditure behavior, and governance mechanisms within a single analytical narrative, an integration rarely addressed jointly in prior single-country studies. The findings offer practical implications for policymakers designing fiscal transfer formulas and for future researchers seeking to test moderating variables such as digitalization and institutional quality in the fiscal decentralization–financial independence nexus.
Abstract:Objectives - Intellectual curiosity about Islamic entrepreneurship, Islamic finance and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) whose issues have increased recently in various sharia sectors. Design/Methodology/approach - Based…
ased on the scopus database, descriptive bibliometric analysis with the visualization tool VosViewer was used to assess 385 documents on Islamic entrepreneurship, Islamic Finance and SDGs, which peaked in 2024 based on the period of 2010-2024. Findings- This study found many articles on Islamic entrepreneurship, Islamic finance and the SDGs. According to this study, Malaysia is the country that publishes the most publications of this research compared to other countries. Then the University of Brunei Darussalam was the most prolific affiliate to publish articles on this. The history of article production growth that started from 2010-2024, continues to increase and peaks in 2024, with 55 documents and the lowest number of documents in 2010 with 10 published documents. This is increasing because there may be a need for sharia synergy to increase Islamic entrepreneurship in Islamic finance and sustainable development (SDGs). Romadoni, V as the most prolific writer about this research. Islamic entrepreneurship, Islamic finance and SDGs provide the potential for sustainable development and is in line with the goals of sharia, namely maqashid sharia for the benefit of the ummah, this encourages sustainable development (SDGs) through Islamic entrepreneurship and Islamic finance. Practical Implications - Research can be used as a useful research proposal for future researchers who use bibliometric methods in systematic literature review by introducing the network of various variables related to this research, then by getting to know famous authors in the field can provide opportunities to collaborate for further research. In addition, this study makes it easier for future researchers to be able to expand even more by looking at the variables obtained in this study as gaps to be researched further.
Abstract:This study aims to analyze the role of fiscal decentralization in enhancing regional financial independence in Indonesia. Using a qualitative approach and literature review methodology, the research examines the role of…
fiscal decentralization in promoting regional financial autonomy in Indonesia. The analysis compares the effectiveness of fiscal decentralization policies in fostering financial independence across various regions in the country. Fiscal decentralization has demonstrated positive impacts by granting regions greater freedom to determine development priorities and explore funding sources. Regions with strong economic potential and natural resources can increase their locally generated revenue (Pendapatan Asli Daerah or PAD) to support development. However, this policy also creates disparities among regions, where wealthier regions manage their finances independently while poorer regions remain reliant on central government transfers. Moreover, limited managerial capacity in some regions hampers the policy's effectiveness. Fiscal decentralization can strengthen regional financial independence if accompanied by enhanced financial management capacity and fiscal policy adjustments.
Abstract:The Impact of Problematic Learning Styles on Learning Outcomes in My Country Cultural Diversity Teachers and Teaching Education Dissertation Pacuan University. 2566 This study is a quasi-experimental study using traditional…
nal and problem-based learning models to investigate how cultural diversity sub-factors affect learning outcomes in My Country State School in Bokor IV C 78 Problem-based learning models have more requirements than traditional control class learning problems based on the experimental class model compared to the model. Because the results of both samples are lower than the L table, they have a high N value, so to find out whether the sample <0.148 is distributed in normal class groups, the researcher conducted an additional normality test using the Liliefors test hypothesis test of 7.42843 is greater than 1.9944 in the table, therefore the alternative hypothesis is accepted and the null hypothesis H0 is rejected Based on the above findings, the problem-based learning model is more effective than the traditional approach. diversity in my country.
Abstract:This research article seeks to review and analyze MUI Fatwa No. 83 of 2023 concerning recommendations for calls and calls for boycotts of pro-Israel products based on the views of fiqh siyasah. The aim is to find out how…
ow the fiqh siyasah syar'iyyah views the boycott of pro-Israel products as a form of jihad and defense of the Palestinian state after the issuance of the MUI Fatwa ruling. This research uses a type of library research with a descriptive analysis approach. The results of the study found that in the view of fiqh siyasah boycott of pro-Israel affiliated products is mandatory if the boycott is believed to be harmful and difficult to the infidel Zionist Israel, and does not result in mafsadah for Muslims and a larger state than the mafsadah to be minimized. However, if the boycott actually brings violence and adversely affects Muslims, then the law does not become mandatory. Because in the rule that takes precedence is to anticipate the occurrence of mafsadah rather than realizing benefits. This is an effort to weaken the economy so that it can have a significant impact on stopping the military aggression carried out by Israel. That way, it will be very helpful to open a space for conflict peace between the two warring countries. But in various cases, this boycott must also pay attention and consider the negative impacts it causes, so as not to cause violence for Muslims and the country.
Abstract:The important role of freedom of expression as a basis for equality, especially within the framework of constitutional law, is very important in Indonesia. This research uses normative juridical qualitative methods to obtain…
tain a comprehensive understanding of the legal aspects that regulate freedom of expression in the country. Recognized as an essential human right, freedom of expression is explicitly protected by the 1945 Constitution of the Republic of Indonesia. The focus of this research is to examine the legal norms governing freedom of expression, which include provisions such as Article 28E paragraph (3) and Article 19 of the Constitution 1945, as well as other statutory regulations. The research results show that freedom of expression is recognized as an inalienable right by the state and is one of the foundations for the realization of a just and democratic society. Although freedom of expression is guaranteed by the constitution, this research also highlights the obstacles and challenges in its implementation. In Indonesia, challenges arise in navigating diverse interpretations of freedom of expression, with concerns about potential exploitation by entities harming public interest. Striking a balance between freedom of expression and societal stability/security is deemed crucial. The research aims to better understand the complexity of freedom of expression within the country's constitutional law and its role in promoting equality. This research aims to find useful insights for creating better policies. These policies should strike a good balance between individual freedom and public interest, ultimately fostering a fair and democratic society.