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Showing 12 articles found for "Periods"

The Effect of Work-Life Balance and Career Development on The Organizational Commitment of Employees at The Rimba Belian Palm Oil Mill Unit, Region 5, PT Perkebunan Nusantara IV

Sari, Septi Aulia, Yasmin, Devi
Abstract: Maintaining employee commitment is particularly important in palm oil mill operations, where shift work, physical demands, and limited career development opportunities may affect employees’ attachment to the organization.… on. This study examines the influence of work-life balance and career development on the organizational commitment of operational employees at the Rimba Belian Palm Oil Mill Unit, Region 5, PT Perkebunan Nusantara IV. A quantitative associative design was employed, involving all 114 operational employees through a census approach. Data were collected using a five-point Likert-scale questionnaire and analyzed through multiple linear regression after completing instrument and classical assumption tests. The findings indicate that work-life balance and career development each have a positive and significant influence on organizational commitment. Both variables also jointly contribute significantly to strengthening employees’ commitment to the organization. Work-life balance showed a relatively stronger contribution, suggesting that employees’ ability to manage work demands and personal responsibilities is particularly important in a shift-based operational environment. This study extends the discussion of organizational commitment to the palm oil agro-industry, which remains less frequently examined than service and public-sector organizations. The findings imply that management should improve shift arrangements, rest periods, access to training, and the transparency of promotion and career development processes to maintain employees’ long-term commitment

Indonesian Stock Market Reaction to the Escalation of the 2026 Iran Conflict: Evidence from an Event Study of Energy Sector Firms

Nidrah, Rika Kurniawati, Mufidatul Azmi
Abstract: This study examines the reaction of the Indonesian capital market to the escalation of the Iran conflict in 2026 using an event study approach focusing on energy sector firms listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Market… t reactions are measured using Average Abnormal Return (AAR) and Trading Volume Activity (TVA). The observation period includes an 11-day event window (t−5 to t+5) and a 100-day estimation period. Statistical tests employed include the Shapiro–Wilk normality test, one-sample t-test, paired sample t-test, and Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test. The findings indicate that abnormal returns are only significant around the event date but do not differ significantly between pre- and post-event periods. In contrast, trading volume activity shows consistent and significant changes. These results suggest that geopolitical conflict information is more strongly reflected in trading behavior than in price adjustments. This study contributes to the literature by providing sector-specific evidence from an emerging market and highlighting behavioral market responses.

Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in Ethiopia Using Multivariate Time Series Analysis

Ali, Sedik
Abstract: Inflation is a fundamental measure of macroeconomic stability that negatively impacts the nation's economy and affects many other macroeconomic variables. Thus, in this study, the major objective was based on modeling and… d forecasting inflation in Ethiopia and its components using a VAR model. The analysis was based on annual data from 1992 to 2021, encompassing 30 years. The results indicated that all five series were non-stationary at the level but stationary after their first differencing at a 5% level of significance. Johansen's cointegration tests were conducted. The results indicated the presence of at least one co-integration relationship between the variables. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) was fitted to model short run and long run relationships among inflation and other macro-econometric series such as GDP growth, government expenditure, money supply, and imports, and the result indicated that the coefficient of error correction term is negative (-0.279), which indicated that the fitted VECM model continues to move toward long run equilibrium and converges. Granger causality tests were employed to explore potential causal relationships. Impulse response analysis and variance decomposition were used to determine the short-run interactions among the variables. Finally, using the fitted model, out-of-sample forecasts were produced, yielding forecasted plots and values for the endogenous variables. According to the forecasted inflation rates for the next five years, prices are projected to decrease by approximately 18.0% in 2022, 6.8% in 2023, and then increase by approximately 8.3% in 2024. Subsequently, prices are expected to decrease by approximately 2% in 2025 and 5% in 2026 over the specified time periods.

The Effect of Cash Flow on Liquidity Levels at PT. Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk on the Indonesian Stock Exchange

Nurjihanar, Nurul Mutmainnah, Ruma, Zainal, Anwar
Abstract: This research aims to determine the effect of cash flow on the level of liquidity at PT. Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The type of research used is descriptive quantitative. The research population&#8230; pulation is the financial statements of PT. Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk for 5 (five) periods, namely 2015-2019. The samples for this research are the balance sheet, profit and loss report and cash flow report of PT. Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk for 5 (five) periods, namely 2015-2019. The data in this research is secondary data with data collection techniques using documentation methods for company financial reports. The data analysis technique uses multiple linear regression analysis.Partial research results (t test) state that partial operating cash flow does not have a significant effect on liquidity. Meanwhile, the investment cash flow variable partially has a significant effect on the level of liquidity. And the partial funding cash flow variable has no significant effect on liquidity. Simultaneous research results (F test) state that operating cash flow, investment cash flow and funding cash flow have a value of Fcount > Ftable (3.275 > 2.95) and a significance value of < 0.05 (0.003 < 0.05), So it can be concluded that the operating cash flow, investment cash flow and funding cash flow variables simultaneously have a significant effect on the level of liquidity.

DETERMINANTS OF DIVIDEND POLICY AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR STOCK RETURNS: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF COMPANIES LISTED ON THE INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE 2019-2024

Munadjat, Baliyah, Gursida, Hari, Indrayono, Yohanes
Abstract: This study aims to analyze the determinants of dividend policy and their implications for stock returns among companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the 2019–2024 period. Specifically, the study examines&#8230; examines the effects of Return on Assets (ROA), Current Ratio (CR), Debt-to-Equity Ratio (DER), Sales Growth (SG), and Firm Size (SIZE) on Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR), as well as the impact of DPR on stock returns. The research employs a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from the annual financial reports of dividend-paying companies listed on the IDX. The sample consists of 822 firm-year observations selected through purposive sampling. Data analysis was conducted using path analysis with multiple regression models, supported by classical assumption tests including normality, heteroscedasticity, multicollinearity, and autocorrelation tests. The results indicate that during the overall period of 2019–2024, ROA, DER, and SG significantly and negatively affect DPR, while CR and SIZE do not have significant effects. Furthermore, CR negatively affects stock returns, whereas SG and DPR have positive and significant effects on stock returns. The findings also reveal that the relationships among financial performance, dividend policy, and stock returns vary across pre-crisis, crisis, and post-crisis periods. Overall, dividend policy plays an important mediating role in influencing stock returns, particularly during and after periods of financial uncertainty. These findings provide valuable insights for investors, corporate managers, and policymakers in formulating dividend and investment decisions under different economic conditions.

PERBANDINGAN METODE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN SINGLE MOVING AVERANGE DALAM PERAMALAN PERSEDIAAN BAHAN BAKU PADA ROEMAH DONAT LEZAT

Rahmadani, Sherly, Rizaldi, Rizaldi, Rahayu, Elly
Abstract: Abstract: Roemah Donat Lezat carries out many sales transactions every day because the prices are affordable and the flavors and toppings are increasingly varied, this affects the supply of raw materials at Roemah Donat&#8230; Lezat In managing raw material inventory, you must ensure sufficient inventory for sales, minimizing the time and costs required. So far, the owner of Roemah Donat Lezat does not have a method for anticipating how much supply of basic ingredients there is and only predicts without clear and precise calculations, therefore, sometimes Roemah Donat Lezat takes too little stock even though customer needs at the time the trend is increasing, causing no fulfilling customer requests and sometimes taking too much stock even though customer demand is decreasing resulting in losses, therefore Roemah Donat Lezat always finds it difficult and confused to estimate stock supplies for the following month To overcome the problems above, the author provides a solution using method comparison forecasting calculations, because it can provide a deeper and more detailed understanding of the advantages, weaknesses and relative performance of the two methods used to achieve a goal or solve a problem  The method used is Single Exponential Smoothing, which is forecasting used for the short term or usually only for the next month  Single Moving Average is a technique for calculating the average of a number from the latest actual values, updated as new values available for use in forecasting in subsequent periods. Keywords: single exponential smoothing-single moving average; forecasting; roemah donat lezat; raw materials; inventory Abstrak: Roemah Donat Lezat setiap harinya banyak melakukan transaksi penjualan karena harga terjangkau dan semakin bervariasi rasa dan topping, hal ini mempengaruhi persediaan bahan baku jika ada di Roemah Donat Lezat  Dalam pengelolaan persediaan bahan baku harus memastikan persediaan jika cukup dalam penjualan, meminimalkan waktu dan biaya jika dibutuhkan.Selama ini pemilik Roemah Donat Lezat tidak memiliki metode dalam mengantisipasi seberapa banyak persediaan bahan-bahan pokok dan hanya memprediksi tanpa adanya perhitungan jika jelas dan tepat maka dari itu, terkadang Roemah Donat Lezat terlalu sedikit mengambil stok padahal kebutuhan pelanggan waktu trend itu sedang meningkat menyebabkan tidak terpenuhinya permintaan pelanggan dan kadang-kadang juga cenderung mengambil terlalu banyak stok meskipun permintaan Pelanggan sedang mengalami penurunan sehingga mengalami kerugian, Sehingga Roemah Donat Lezat selalu menghadapi kesulitan dan kebingungan dalam memperkirakan persediaan stok di bulan berikutnya. Solusi dari permasalahan tersebut yaitu dengan memanfaatkan perhitungan peramalan komparasi metode, kita dapat memperoleh pemahaman yang lebih mendalam dan rinci mengenai kelebihan, kekurangan, serta kinerja relatif dari dua metode yang digunakan untuk mencapai suatu tujuan atau menyelesaikan masalah. Metode yang dibandingkan adalah Single Exponential Smoothing dan Single Moving Average. Kata kunci: single exponential smoothing-single moving average; peramalan; roemah donat lezat; bahan baku; persediaan

Pelatihan Kader Posyandu Tentang Pengolahan Makanan Tambahan Berbasis Pangan Lokal Untuk Balita Dan Ibu Hamil

Doloksaribu, Tetty Herta, Herta Masthalina, Nainggolan, Herly
Abstract: Abstract: Pregnancy and toddlerhood are crucial periods that determine a child’s future growth and development. In Wonosari Village, the nutritional intake of pregnant women and toddlers is below the recommended dietary&#8230; y allowance. One of the specific nutritional interventions that can be implemented is the provision of supplementary food (PMT) based on local food. This community service activity aimed to improve the knowledge and skills of posyandu cadres regarding the PMT based on local food for toddlers and pregnant women. The program involved training 40 cadres in the working area of Dalu Sepuluh Health Center, Tanjung Morawa District, Deli Serdang Regency, on May 28, 2025. The training consisted of delivering material on the concept of local food-based PMT and hands-on practice in processing supplementary food. Knowledge was evaluated through pre- and post-tests. Skills were evaluated through observation during processing practices. The results indicated an increase in cadres’ knowledge, with the average score rising from 95.4 to 99.4. Skills also improved, particularly in the accuracy of ingredient measurement and appropriate portion determination. These findings imply that local food-based PMT training can enhance the capacity of posyandu cadres and contribute to strengthening community-based efforts in improving maternal and child nutrition. Keywords: cadres; PMT; pregnant women; toddlers   Abstrak: Masa kehamilan dan balita merupakan fase penting yang menentukan kualitas tumbuh kembang anak. Di Desa Wonosari, asupan gizi ibu hamil dan balita di bawah angka kecukupan gizi yang dianjurkan, sehingga diperlukan intervensi gizi spesifik melalui PMT berbasis pangan lokal.  Kegiatan pengabdian ini bertujuan untuk meningkatkan pengetahuan dan keterampilan kader posyandu mengenai pengolahan makanan tambahan berbasis pangan lokal untuk balita dan ibu hamil. Metode yang digunakan adalah pelatihan dengan sasaran 40 orang kader posyandu di wilayah kerja Puskesmas Dalu Sepuluh, Kecamatan Tanjung Morawa Kabupaten Deli Serdang. Pelatihan dilaksanakan pada 28 Mei 2025,  terdiri dari penyampaian materi tentang PMT berbasis pangan lokal dan praktik pengolahan makanan tambahan untuk balita dan ibu hamil. Evaluasi pengetahuan melalui pre-test dan post-test menggunakan kuesioner. Keterampilan dievaluasi dengan observasi pada saat praktik pengolahan. Pelatihan menghasilkan peningkatan skor pengetahuan kader posyandu dari 95,4 menjadi 99,4, dan peningkatan keterampilan tentang ketepatan penggunaan jumlah bahan pangan dan porsi PMT untuk ibu hamil dan balita. Kata kunci: balita; ibu hamil; kader; PMT

GRAFANA-BASED DOMAIN EXPIRATION AND SSL CERTIFICATE MONITORING SYSTEM FOR PREVENTIVE SECURITY

Asyiyah, Nur, Putra Pratama, Hafiyyan
Abstract: Abstract: Manual management of domain validity periods and SSL certificates is prone to human error and can cause service disruptions, as was the case at PT XYZ. A reactive approach that relies on vendor notifications has&#8230; s proven to be insufficient to ensure operational continuity. This research aims to design and implement an automated monitoring system to transform this manual approach into a preventive and proactive security framework. The method used is the implementation of an open-source stack consisting of Prometheus to collect metrics from specialized exporters (Blackbox and Domain Exporter), and Grafana for informative centralized dashboard visualization. The system is also integrated with early warning notifications via Telegram for rapid incident response. The result is a functional system with a centralized dashboard that visually displays the remaining validity period of assets using color markers (green for safe status, yellow for early warning, and red for critical status). System testing showed very high accuracy, reaching 100% for domains (MAE 0 days) and 99.45% for SSL certificates (MAE 1.0 days). This system has successfully transformed manual processes into automated and preventive ones, significantly mitigating the risk of human error and ensuring the reliability of digital services.             Keywords: domain; grafana; monitoring; prometheus; SSL certificate.     Abstrak: Pengelolaan manual masa berlaku domain dan sertifikat SSL rentan terhadap human error dan dapat menyebabkan gangguan layanan, seperti yang pernah terjadi di PT XYZ. Pendekatan reaktif yang mengandalkan notifikasi vendor terbukti tidak lagi memadai untuk menjamin kontinuitas operasional. Penelitian ini bertujuan merancang dan mengimplementasikan sistem pemantauan otomatis untuk mentransformasi pendekatan manual tersebut menjadi kerangka kerja keamanan yang preventif dan proaktif. Metode yang digunakan adalah implementasi stack open-source yang terdiri dari Prometheus untuk mengumpulkan metrik dari exporter spesialis (Blackbox dan Domain Exporter), serta Grafana untuk visualisasi dasbor terpusat yang informatif. Sistem ini juga diintegrasikan dengan notifikasi peringatan dini melalui Telegram untuk respons insiden yang cepat. Hasilnya adalah sebuah sistem fungsional dengan dashboard terpusat yang menampilkan sisa masa berlaku aset secara visual menggunakan penanda warna (hijau untuk status aman, kuning untuk peringatan dini, dan merah untuk status kritis). Pengujian sistem menunjukkan akurasi yang sangat tinggi, mencapai 100% untuk domain (MAE 0 hari) dan 99.45% untuk sertifikat SSL (MAE 1.0 hari). Sistem ini berhasil mengubah proses manual menjadi otomatis dan preventif, secara signifikan memitigasi risiko human error dan menjamin keandalan layanan digital.   Kata kunci: domain; grafana; pemantauan; prometheus; sertifikat SSL.

IMPLEMENTATION OF AIR QUALITY DETECTION SYSTEM FOR HEALTHY ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING

Kurnia Sirni, Dian Yudha, Nofriadi, Nofriadi, Sahren, Sahren
Abstract: Abstract: The increasing number of students at STMIK Royal Kisaran has raised the risk of air pollution caused by vehicle emissions, cigarette smoke, and waste burning, particularly around the campus canteen. The campus's&#8230; s location, which is close to a rubber factory and the Sumatra Crossroad, further exacerbates air quality and significantly impacts the health of individuals active at STMIK Royal. This study aims to develop a system that can measure air quality in real-time and detect pollutants in the campus environment. The system utilizes MQ-135 and MQ-2 sensors integrated with a microprocessor to process and transmit data to an IoT-based database. This research employs a qualitative descriptive method to describe the facts and trends based on the available data. The results indicate that air quality is good in the morning, worsens during the afternoon, and improves again in the evening, reflecting increased pollution during periods of heightened industrial and transportation activities. The implementation of this system is expected to contribute to the creation of a healthier environment and raise awareness about the importance of air quality. Keywords:  air quality; campus environment ; IoT; pollution.   Abstrak: Peningkatan jumlah mahasiswa di Kampus STMIK Royal Kisaran telah meningkatkan risiko polusi udara akibat asap kendaraan, rokok, dan pembakaran sampah, terutama di sekitar kantin kampus. Lokasi kampus yang dekat dengan pabrik karet dan jalan lintas Sumatera sehingga memperburuk kualitas udara dan sangat mempengaruhi kesehatan para individu yang beraktivitas di STMIK Royal. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengembangkan sistem yang dapat mengukur kualitas udara secara real-time dan mendeteksi polutan di lingkungan kampus. Sistem ini menggunakan sensor MQ-135 dan MQ-2 yang terintegrasi dengan mikroprosesor untuk mengolah dan mengirim data ke database berbasis IoT. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode deskriptif kualitatif untuk menggambarkan fakta dan kecenderungan dari data yang tersedia. Hasilnya menunjukkan bahwa kualitas udara baik di pagi hari, memburuk di siang hari, dan membaik lagi di sore hari, menunjukkan peningkatan polusi saat aktivitas pabrik dan transportasi meningkat. Implementasi sistem ini diharapkan dapat mendukung terciptanya lingkungan yang lebih sehat dan meningkatkan kesadaran akan pentingnya kualitas udara. Kata kunci: IoT; lingkungan kampus; kualitas udara; polusi.

Political Branding via Social Media: Analyzing Computer Mediated Communication of 2024 Presidential and Vice Presidential Candidates on Instagram

Sandika Rhamadona, Panuju, Redi
Abstract: The digital era has significantly transformed lifestyles, particularly in Indonesia, where computer-mediated communication (CMC) now plays a prominent role in human interactions. In public spaces, individuals often prioritize&#8230; itize their digital devices over engaging with those around them. The rise of the internet generation has integrated media and communication into essential elements of daily life. This study focuses on the analysis of hashtag trends related to general elections, such as #capres2024, #cawapres2024, and #pemilu2024, on Instagram, and their influence on user perceptions. It examines the role of hashtags in CMC practices on Instagram during electoral periods. Through the analysis of seven samples, the study reveals that while certain posts align with the electoral purposes of the hashtags, others use these hashtags for visibility without relevance to the elections. The research underscores Instagram’s potential for reshaping political branding and enhancing voter engagement. It demonstrates that the strategic application of hashtags, combined with high-quality visuals and interactive features, can amplify the visibility and impact of political messaging. By integrating CMC and political branding theories, this study presents a framework for understanding how digital tools can foster a more engaged and informed electorate.