Abstract:This study examines the effects of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), world gold prices, world oil prices, and the rupiah exchange rate on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) in Indonesia. The study uses monthly…
secondary data from January 2015 to December 2025, comprising 132 observations. CSPI data were obtained from the Indonesia Stock Exchange, DJIA, gold price, and oil price data were obtained from Investing.com, while exchange rate data were sourced from Bank Indonesia. The analysis employed the two-step Engle-Granger Error Correction Model (EG-ECM) to identify long-run relationships and short-run adjustment dynamics. The long-run results show that gold prices, world oil prices, and the DJIA have positive and significant effects on the CSPI, whereas the rupiah exchange rate has a negative but insignificant effect. In the short run, the exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on the CSPI, while gold prices, oil prices, and the DJIA have positive and significant effects. The Error Correction Term coefficient of -0.1325 is negative and significant, indicating that approximately 13.25% of short-run disequilibrium is corrected each month toward long-run equilibrium. These findings imply that investors and policymakers should closely monitor global market conditions, commodity price movements, and exchange rate volatility to support investment decisions and maintain Indonesian capital market stability
Abstract:In carrying out its integrated regulatory and supervisory function in the financial services sector, the Financial Services Authority (OJK) receives various reports from Financial Services Institutions (LJK), Issuers, and…
d Public Companies regarding the receipt and distribution of funds. The complexity of funding and financing relationships between financial service actors creates concentration risks that have the potential to disrupt financial system stability. Experiences from the 1998 Indonesian crisis and the 2008 global financial crisis demonstrate that concentration of exposures and interconnectedness between entities can exacerbate systemic risk. This study aims to identify current supervisory data analysis practices and propose the development of a concentration risk analysis that integrates the loan exposures of large debtor groups with their funding sources. The study used a qualitative approach through interviews, observations, and document analysis. The results indicate that OJK supervisors need an integrated concentration risk analysis across various LJKs and customer groups. Currently, the analysis process is still carried out manually, resulting in inconsistent results and difficult to replicate. The implementation of Supervisory Technology (SupTech) can improve supervisory effectiveness while transforming supervisors' tacit knowledge into explicit knowledge that is documented, standardized, and easily shared. This research contributes to the development of technology-based risk monitoring and knowledge management models in the financial services sector.
Abstract:This study analyzes the dividend policy of PT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (TLKM) during the 2020–2025 period using a quantitative descriptive approach and a longitudinal case study based on secondary data from audited…
ed financial reports. The variables analyzed include Dividend Per Share (DPS), Earnings Per Share (EPS), Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR), Dividend Yield, and Free Cash Flow (FCF), with trend analysis using the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). The results show that DPS grows 6.05% per year, higher than EPS of 1.87%, resulting in DPR increasing from 80.00% to 93.95% in 2024. Nevertheless, strong and stable operating cash flow ensures that dividends remain supported by FCF, so there is no indication of financial distress. However, the increasing FCF-to-dividend ratio indicates the company's increasingly limited reinvestment space. The decline in net profit of 20.48% in 2025 also increases the risk of dividend policy sustainability. Furthermore, the increase in dividend yield was more influenced by stock price declines than dividend growth. This finding suggests that SOE dividend stability reflects not only fundamental performance but also institutional pressure from the government as the controlling shareholder, supporting the relevance of Agency Theory and Catering Theory in explaining dividend policy of state-owned enterprises in emerging markets
Abstract:This study explored how cost structure, land productivity, and price efficiency shape the income of micro scale shallot farmers in Brebes Regency based on farmers' reported financial experiences and informants' financial…
narratives. Using an exploratory qualitative approach, data were collected from five shallot farmers, one agricultural extension officer, and one farmer group leader through semi-structured interviews, non-participant observation, and documentation. The data were analyzed through thematic analysis supported by source and technique triangulation. The findings show that reported income is highly vulnerable to variable production costs, particularly labor, seed, and pesticides. Land productivity is closely related to land ownership status and farming scale, while price efficiency is constrained by farmers' weak bargaining position and dependence on intermediaries. Farmers apply adaptive strategies such as delaying sales, drying harvested shallots, and converting part of the harvest into seed stock. However, these strategies are limited by liquidity needs, storage capacity, product quality, and market uncertainty. The study concludes that improving farmers' income stability requires integrated cost control, asset productivity, price information access, post-harvest support, and stronger farmer institutions.
Abstract:This study aims to analyze the factors that affect rice consumption in South Sulawesi Province using a panel data approach for 2018–2024. The dependent variables used are rice consumption (tons), while the independent variables…
variables include per capita income, household size, rice production, human development index (HDI), and percentage of poor population. The analysis was performed with a panel data regression model using R software, with a series of model specification tests including the Chow test, the Hausman test, and the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test. The best model obtained is the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). Partially, the variables of household size and rice production had a significant negative effect on rice consumption, while HDI had a significant positive effect. The variables of per capita income and poverty level have a negative but not significant effect. These results indicate that rice consumption in South Sulawesi is more influenced by social aspects and quality of life than purely economic factors. These findings affirm the importance of food security policies that focus on improving human development, rice distribution efficiency, and strengthening social protection programs to maintain the stability of household food consumption.
Abstract:This study examines the rapid expansion of the coffee shop industry in Makassar City as a phenomenon that creates not only economic opportunities but also increasing competitive saturation. As coffee shops in Makassar have…
ve developed beyond places of beverage consumption into urban social spaces linked to lifestyle, sociability, symbolic visibility, and identity formation, competition has become denser and more complex. The study aims to gain an in-depth understanding of how coffee shop owners and managers experience, interpret, and respond to this increasingly crowded market. Using a qualitative phenomenological approach, the research employed in-depth semi-structured interviews with business actors involved in strategic and operational decision-making, supported by contextual observation and business-related documents. The findings reveal five main themes: market growth is experienced as both opportunity and pressure; similarity among coffee shops increases vulnerability and reduces perceived distinctiveness; entrepreneurs rely on continuous adaptation rather than fixed strategies; business sustainability is understood as stability, relevance, and survival rather than expansion alone; and competition is shaped not only by product and price, but also by ambience, visibility, symbolic value, and lifestyle alignment.
Abstract:This research investigates how financial literacy affects the financial behaviors of students on Lombok Island. Utilizing a quantitative methodology, the study surveyed 110 students to gather relevant data. The findings…
reveal that a higher level of financial literacy has a substantial positive impact on students' financial habits and decision-making processes. Conversely, the role of financial technology (fintech) was found to be substantial in influencing or moderating these behaviors within the studied population. The conclusion emphasizes the importance of enhancing financial literacy programs to foster more responsible and informed financial practices among students. Developing such initiatives can contribute to better financial stability and decision-making skills in the future
Abstract:This study aims to analyze the influence of international prices, the rupiah–rupee exchange rate, non-tariff measures, and India’s import volume on the export value of Indonesian cloves to India. The research utilizes secondary…
s secondary data for the period 2015–2024. The analytical method employed is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to examine both short-run and long-run relationships, complemented by stationarity tests, cointegration tests, ECM estimation, and diagnostic and stability tests. The results show that international prices have a positive and significant effect on Indonesia’s clove export value, consistent with export-supply theory which states that higher global prices increase export incentives. The rupiah–rupee exchange rate displays a positive but insignificant relationship, indicating that exchange rate volatility is not sufficiently strong to influence changes in export value. Non-tariff measures, including SPS and TBT standards, are found to have a significant effect, reflecting the role of regulations in increasing compliance costs while simultaneously enhancing Indian consumer confidence in the quality of Indonesian cloves. India’s import volume also has a significant influence, showing that India’s domestic demand remains a major driver of Indonesia’s export value during the study period. This study is expected to provide insights for policymakers and industry players in strengthening trade strategies, particularly in enhancing the competitiveness of Indonesian clove exports through quality improvements, exchange rate stability, and compliance with non-tariff standards.
Abstract:The healthcare industry has historically been viewed as a non-cyclical, defensive, safe haven for investors. However, the post-pandemic period has revealed the industry's susceptibility to disruptions in global supply chains…
ains and geopolitical tensions. The present research examines the effects of Geopolitical risk (GPR) on the stock performance of 76 publicly listed healthcare companies in Southeast Asia (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, and Singapore) during 2015-2024. According to the Caldara and Iacoviello GPR Index, this study utilizes Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) the results show that though general Geopolitical Risk and Inflation are strongly negatively impacting the stock performance, specific Geopolitical Acts (GPRA) and Threats (GPRT) are having a positive response indicating a necessity premium in which investors expect a boom in demand of medical supplies once a conflict is realized. It concludes that the healthcare industry is not a safe haven but a highly fragmented environment in which inflation poses a greater threat to companies than political instability. The study advises that investors should consider a bottom-up approach, specifically micro-resilience screening, and that corporate managers should focus on supply chain decoupling and inflation hedging to address the Resilience Gap identified in the region.
Abstract:This research is based on the imbalance between demand and supply that often occurs in the consumer goods market in Makassar, which causes price changes and market instability. This study is unique in a local context by…
emphasizing the real interaction between demand and supply as a factor that affects the market balance at the regional level. The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of demand and supply on the balance of the consumer goods market in Makassar. This study adopts a quantitative approach by using primary data from 250 respondents, consisting of 200 consumers and 50 traders with questions using a five-point Likert scale. Data analysis is carried out with multiple linear regression using SPSS version 25, as well as involving validity testing, reliability and classic assumption testing. Research findings show that the demand and supply variables have a positive and significant effect on the market balance with an Adjusted R² of 0.285. Together, the two variables explain 28.5% variation in market balance. This result shows that the increase in demand and the availability of the supply of consumer goods are the key to maintaining price stability in the local market.